The Shadow of Deterrence: Why capable actors engage in contests short of war

Gannon, J Andr´es, Erik A. Gartzke, Jon R. Lindsay, and Peter Schram. “The Shadow of Deterrence: Why capable actors engage in contests short of war.” Journal of Conflict Resolution, (Forthcoming).

The Paper:

Pre-print.

Appendix.

The Data:

The statistical analysis performed in the paper using the following data:

• .csv

The Authors:

J Andrés Gannon, Erik A Gartzke, Jon R. Lindsay, and Peter Schram

Replication Code and Analysis

All coding scripts needed for replication and analysis are located in the /docs folder. They are described below.

Helper files

01 Data Load - loads the data that were originally created in google docs.

02 Distance - creates geographic distance numbers to be used for one of the deterrence variables.

Data Preparation - External

03 series - we prepare data from existing sources, including 03a ICB, 03b DCID, and 03c REI.

Data Preparation - Aggregate

04 Full Data - merge and quality check new, final dataset.

Modeling

05a Model Prep - add new variables to be used in the model and make necessary variable transformations.

05b Model Results - statistical models producing the results in the main paper and appendix.

Visualization

06a Intensity - produces Figure 1

06b Map - produces Figure 2