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Census-Block-Group-Level-2016-Presidential-Election-Results

A dataset ('votes2016_byCbg_neighbors.csv.gz') with estimates of Census Block Group level election results, and the underlying data and code that generated it. For the 2020 CBG-level results, see here.

Derived from the dataset compiled by the Voting and Election Science Team at the University of Florida and Wichita State University. Vote counts are allocated to census block groups based on the share of the precincts' areas that overlap with the given CBG. A folder with all CBG shapefiles can be downloaded here. For a description of the matching algorithm, see Van Dijcke and Wright (2021).

Please cite:

Sonin, Konstantin, Van Dijcke, David and Wright, Austin L. (2023). Profiling Insurrection: Who Went to Washington, DC on January 6, 2021?. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3776854

Voting and Election Science Team. 2018. “2016 Precinct-Level Election Results.”. URL: https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I

variable name description
poi_cbg Census Block Group ID. Make sure to pad it with zeros on the left!
trump_share Share of Trump votes in total CBG population
clinton_share Share of Clinton votes in total CBG population
trump_share_votes Share of Trump votes in total votes cast
clinton_share Share of Clinton votes in total votes cast
g16prertru Estimated votes cast for Trump in CBG
g16predcli Estimated votes cast for Clinton in CBG
trump_neighbor Total votes for Trump in neighboring CBGs / total votes in neighboring CBGS
clinton_neighbor Same for Clinton votes
trump_neighbor_avg Average trump vote share in neighboring CBGs (and same for Clinton)

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A dataset with estimates of Census Block Group level election results

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