diff --git a/_sources/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.md b/_sources/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.md index 37c3eb4..95d4b4f 100644 --- a/_sources/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.md +++ b/_sources/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.md @@ -47,9 +47,9 @@ As previously mentioned, most of the variables we used can be found in the To manually update these variables download the latest file and copy/paste the specific variables. -Previous Document: May 2022 +Previous Document: February 2023 -Current Document: February 2023 +Current Document: February 2024 | Variable | Name In CBO Document | |----------|-----------------------------------------------------| @@ -70,9 +70,9 @@ Current Document: February 2023 Source: [Revenue Projections, By Category (CBO)](https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/budget-economic-data#7) -Previous: [February 2023](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2023-02/51138-2023-02-Revenue.xlsx) +Previous: [February 2024](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2024-02/51138-2024-02-Revenue.xlsx) -Current: [February 2023](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2023-02/51138-2023-02-Revenue.xlsx) +Current: [February 2024](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2024-02/51138-2024-02-Revenue.xlsx) In the revenue projections file, the data is in the `Capital Gains Realizations` tab under the `Capital Gains Realizations` column. @@ -81,9 +81,9 @@ tab under the `Capital Gains Realizations` column. Source: [IRS Publication 6187 Table 1B](https://www.irs.gov/statistics/projections-of-federal-tax-return-filings) -Previous: [Fall 2021 Report](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/21projpub6187tables.xls) +Previous: [Fall 2022 Report](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/22projpub6187tables.xlsx) -Current: [Fall 2022 Report](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/22projpub6187tables.xlsx) +Current: [Fall 2023 Report](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-soi/23projpub6187tables.xlsx) The projections in the publication typically end a few years before the 10-year projections do. We use the growth rate from the final year in the @@ -96,9 +96,9 @@ Source: [OASI Trust Fund Annual Trustees Report](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/TR/) Table VI.C4. Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Table VI.C4, Column: `Scheduled Benefits: Intermediate Level` -Previous: [2019 Report](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/TR/2019/tr2019.pdf) +Previous: [2023 Report](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/TR/2023/VI_C_SRfyproj.html) -Current: [2020 Report](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/TR/2020/VI_C_SRfyproj.html) +Current: [2023 Report](https://www.ssa.gov/oact/TR/2023/VI_C_SRfyproj.html) Projections are taken directly from the `Scheduled Benefits: Intermediate Level` column of this table. @@ -108,7 +108,7 @@ column of this table. Source: [BLS Database](http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SAM?output_view=pct_1mth) Series ID: CUSR0000SAM -Access Date: March 07 2023 +Access Date: Manual Instructions: @@ -124,9 +124,9 @@ Manual Instructions: Source: [CBO Unemployment Compensation projections](https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/baseline-projections-selected-programs#24) -Previous: [March 2020](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2020-03/51316-2020-03-unemployment.pdf) +Previous: [February 2024](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2024-02/51316-2024-02-unemployment.xlsx) -Current: [May 2022](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2022-05/51316-2022-05-unemployment.xlsx) +Current: [February 2024](https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/2024-02/51316-2024-02-unemployment.xlsx) Note: Change the `Total Benefits` number from the table to be in terms of billions rather than millions of dollars diff --git a/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.html b/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.html index ebd9679..bf31a68 100644 --- a/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.html +++ b/content/methods/CBO_Baseline_Updating_Instructions.html @@ -449,8 +449,8 @@

Variables in 10-Year CBO ProjectionsCBO 10-Year Economics Projections. To manually update these variables download the latest file and copy/paste the specific variables.

-

Previous Document: May 2022

-

Current Document: February 2023

+

Previous Document: February 2023

+

Current Document: February 2024

@@ -496,16 +496,16 @@

Variables Not in 10-Year Projections

CGNS#

Source: Revenue Projections, By Category (CBO)

-

Previous: February 2023

-

Current: February 2023

+

Previous: February 2024

+

Current: February 2024

In the revenue projections file, the data is in the Capital Gains Realizations tab under the Capital Gains Realizations column.

RETS#

Source: IRS Publication 6187 Table 1B

-

Previous: Fall 2021 Report

-

Current: Fall 2022 Report

+

Previous: Fall 2022 Report

+

Current: Fall 2023 Report

The projections in the publication typically end a few years before the 10-year projections do. We use the growth rate from the final year in the projections to extrapolate into the additional years that are needed.

@@ -515,8 +515,8 @@

SOCSECSource: OASI Trust Fund Annual Trustees Report

Table VI.C4. Operations of the OASI Trust Fund, Table VI.C4, Column: Scheduled Benefits: Intermediate Level

-

Previous: 2019 Report

-

Current: 2020 Report

+

Previous: 2023 Report

+

Current: 2023 Report

Projections are taken directly from the Scheduled Benefits: Intermediate Level column of this table.

@@ -524,7 +524,7 @@

SOCSECCPIM (CPI Medical Care)#

Source: BLS Database

Series ID: CUSR0000SAM -Access Date: March 07 2023

+Access Date:

Manual Instructions:

  1. From the above link, click on “More Formatting Options”

    2. @@ -539,8 +539,8 @@

    CPIM (CPI Medical Care)

    UCOMP#

    Source: CBO Unemployment Compensation projections

    -

    Previous: March 2020

    -

    Current: May 2022

    +

    Previous: February 2024

    +

    Current: February 2024

    Note: Change the Total Benefits number from the table to be in terms of billions rather than millions of dollars

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Variable