TweetPredictor

Can we predict the political party of a twitter user?
We fit a logistic model to classify and make inferences on the political party of politician's twitters.

PCA & Clustering

Native Logistic Model

## [1] 0.05140878

Consideration

Skree plot - are there exactly 2 parties?

Consideration Continued

Weaknesses of Previous Model

• Naive

Improved Model (Trees)

## [1] 506 253 126  63  32  16   8   4   1

Visualize Improved Model

Outliers & Interesting Things

• Who are these users scoring extremely low on PC1 and PC2?
• What are the 5-clusters encoding? What’s up with the density on cluster 3?

Method Continued

To expand upon this research question, “Can you predict the political party of a twitter user using their tweet history,” some improvements could be made:

• Training and testing on members of the population to make a model that works more generally, instead of on politicians due to charged language.
• Considering different scalings of the data such as quantile-based instead of ratio-based numerics.

Fun Takeaways

Fun Takeaways

Fun Takeaways