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2017-yukon-forecasting

Data, code, and output for the 2017 operational forecast of Yukon River Chinook salmon run timing

Forecasted Timing of Percentiles of Cumulative CPUE

Percentile Predicted Date (Day of June)
15% 10
25% 13
50% 19

Latest Daily Forecast

The red line should match the black line pretty well when the forecast is reasonable.

Final CPUE Heuristic

This line should be erratic early on in the run by smooth out and oscillate around a single value of final CPUE when the forecast is reasonable.

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Data, code, and output for the 2017 operational forecast of Yukon River Chinook salmon run timing

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