The ICEWS event data
This is a quick look at the public ICEWS data, including code for how to use the event data from R. David Masad has a much better overview using Python.
The public ICEWS data are available on dataverse at http://thedata.harvard.edu/dvn/dv/icews.
The script in
icews-to-public.r has instructions for how to load the
.zip files containing the event data into a SQLite database for further work in R. Further work with the data from there requires a bit of SQL. The script includes some really simple examples, but aggregating the raw event data to variables one might use in modeling requires a bit more complex queries.
Events per day
Total events by country, per million
The per capita event counts are log10, so the differences in the per capita counts in the map are actually much starker than they appear.
summary.r has a bit more on this further down, including linear models with population among other predictors.