Replication instructions for ``Democracy, Reputation for Resolve, and Civil Conflict''

Casey Crisman-Cox

February 2021

Replication instructions

All analysis was conducted using R 3.6.3. The following files will conduct the replication:

• replication.sh Running this file will replicate all tables and figures in the main text. The log file JPR_logFile_mainTxt.txt records the output of running this file. Figures 1 & 2 are output as PDF files.
• repicate_appendix.sh Running this file will replicate all tables and figures in the online appendix. The log file JPR_logFile_appendix.txt records the output of running this file. Figures D1-4 are output as PDF files.

Packages

The following R packages are used in this analysis

• DEoptim (2.2-4)
• matrixStats (0.54.0)
• doParallel (1.0.15)
• doRNG (1.7.1)
• data.table (1.12.8)
• stringr (1.4.0)
• ggplot2 (3.1.1)
• gridExtra (2.3)

Additional resources and explanation

Starting values are very important for the optimization. The folder labeled startingvalues includes the (time and resource intensive) global optimization routines used to produce starting values. They are not run within the main replication package, but are included as additional information for replicators.

R Session Information

R version 3.6.3 (2020-02-29)
Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit)
Running under: Ubuntu 18.04.5 LTS

Matrix products: default
BLAS:   /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/openblas/libblas.so.3
LAPACK: /usr/lib/x86_64-linux-gnu/libopenblasp-r0.2.20.so

Files and contents

Folders

• Data Contains data files used in the analysis
  • FearonLaitin.dta Fearon and Laitin's 2003 APSR data
  • fearonOutOfSample.csv Case from Fearon's 2004 JPR that are not in UCDP.
  • fullDataSet.csv The main data set used in this paper
  • NMC_v4_0.csv Correlates of War NMC data
  • woa_USE* A series of Rdata files that are used to fit the various models. Each one is designed for a specific robustness check. See the appendix for more detials.
• functions Contains additional functions used in the project
  • avdata.r A function to compute "average" data profile
  • deoptimWrap.r A function to customize how DEoptim is use. Mainly used to control the parallel options
  • estimationFunctions2018.R loglikelihood and other functions
• startingvalues A folder containing code to produce and save starting values for each model
  • model*_startvalues.R Code to produce starting values for each model 0-11
  • model*start_currentIT.rdata File produced along the way the save the current output of DEoptim
  • model*startvalues.rdata File that contains the produced starting values

Main files

• analyze_MonteCarlo.r Analyze the main Monte Carlo simulation
• analyze_MonteCarlo_section.r Analyze the Monte Carlo with missing 0s
• codebook.md description file for fullDataSet.csv
• figure*.pdf Figure in PDF format
• figure*.R Code to produce the figure
• JPR_logFile_appendix.txt Logged output from running the appendix files
• JPR_logFile_mainText.txt Logged output from running the main text files
• MCresult_main.pdf Figure A.1 in pdf format
• model*_fit.R Code to fit models 0-11. Consdult the bash (.sh) files for the ordering and the log files to see which files match which Tables. The main text models are 1, 2, and 7. Models 3-6 and 8-11 are in the Appendix (in order) and model 0 is used only for model fit comparisions.
• model*_bootstrap.r Bootstrap code for models 1-11.
• model*_bootstrap.rdata Saved bootstrap results
• modelfit.r Code for model fit exercises (Appendix F)
• MonteCarloExperiment.r Code to run the Monte Carlo simulation
• MonteCarloExperiment_selection.r Code to run the Monte Carlo simulation with missing cases
• MonteCarloResults.rdata Saved results of the main Monte Carlo
• MonteCarloResults_section.rdata Saved results of the Monte Carlo simulation with missing cases
• nullModel.Rdata Save results of Model 0. A null model used for model fit
• readme.md this file
• replicate.sh the bash script that runs all the files used in the main analysis. The text output is recorded in JPR_logFile_mainText.txt
• replicate_appendix.sh the bash script that runs all the files used in the online appendix. The text output is recorded in JPR_logFile_appendix.txt
• summary.R Produce summary statistics table in Appendix C