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Understanding Drivers of Climate Extremes Using Regime-specific Causal Graphs

The goal of this tutorial is to show how we can use methods from constraint-based causal discovery to uncover the causal relationships that are present in different moisture regimes. In doing that, we aim to improve our general understanding of the dynamics of extreme events, with application to understanding drivers of soil-moisture under different, more extreme, regimes.

Authors:

[1] German Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Data Science, 07745 Jena, Germany
[2] Technische Universität Berlin, 10623 Berlin, Germany
[3] Institute for Environmental Studies, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands

We thank the XAIDA Project and Martin Hirschi and Dominik Schumacher for making the soil moisture dataset publicly available at https://xaida.eu/reports-datasets/.

Originally presented at ICLR 2024

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We recommend executing this notebook in a Colab environment to gain access to GPUs and to manage all necessary dependencies. Open In Colab

Estimated time to execute end-to-end: 20 minutes

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License

The code for RPCMCI (rpcmc.py) was adapted from Tigramite (original authors: Elena Saggioro, Sagar Simha, Matthias Bruhns, Jakob Runge). We included functionality for missing data and made parallelization optional (Authors: Oana Popescu, Wiebke Günther). This adapted code for RPCMCI is published under the GNU General Public License v3.0.

The tutorial notebook is published under MIT license.

Cite

Plain Text

Popescu, O. & Günther, W. & Hamed, R. & Rabel, M. & Coumou, D. and Runge, J. (2024). Understanding Drivers of Climate Extremes Using Regime-specific Causal Graphs [Tutorial]. In International Conference on Learning Representations. Climate Change AI. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14608728

BibTeX

@misc{popescu2024understanding,
  title={Understanding Drivers of Climate Extremes Using Regime-specific Causal Graphs},
  author={Popescu, Oana-Iuliana and Günther, Wiebke and Hamed, Raed and Rabel, Martin and Coumou, Dim and Runge, Jakob},
  year={2024},
  organization={Climate Change AI},
  type={Tutorial},
  doi={https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.14608728},
  booktitle={International Conference on Learning Representations},
  howpublished={\url{https://github.com/climatechange-ai-tutorials/climate-extremes-regime}}
}

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The goal of this tutorial is to show how we can use methods from constraint-based causal discovery to uncover the causal relationships that are present in different moisture regimes. In doing that, we aim to improve our general understanding of the dynamics of extreme events.

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