Data and writeups from an analysis of winning the toss in cricket
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Toss-up: The Impact of Winning the Toss on Probability of Winning

We analyze data from nearly 43,000 first-class men's cricket matches -- a near census of the relevant population. And we make a series of discoveries that upend some conventional wisdom, and understanding based on analysis of much smaller datasets --- in fact, one prominent previous study (pdf) basis its analysis on just about 1% of the data we have.


Analysis, Write-up, And Figures

We began by merging the ranking and the match data. We next analyzed the data. The script produces these figures. The tex and pdf files for the final write-up can be found here.


Gaurav Sood and Derek Willis


Scripts, figures, and writing are released under CC BY 2.0.