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FiveThirtyEight's Partisan Lean

This directory contains the data for FiveThirtyEight's partisan lean, which is used in our House, Senate and Governor forecasts.

Partisan lean is the average difference between how a state or district votes and how the country votes overall, with 2016 presidential election results weighted 50 percent, 2012 presidential election results weighted 25 percent and results from elections for the state legislature weighted 25 percent.