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title The Case for a Job Guarantee
author Pavlina R. Tcherneva
year 2020
isbn 9781509542109

the following are my notes on the case for a job guarantee. this is not a summary. instead, these are the ideas that caught my eye.

2: a steep price for a broken status quo

  • 23 - unemployment is unique bc there's this idea that there's a non-zero optimal level of unemployment: NAIRU; would be nuts to think this way about homelessness or illiteracy
  • 26 - "It is hard not to conclude that the NAIRU has provided cover for the profound policy failure of tackling unemployment head on."
  • 29 - people who need work most, long term unemployed, have most barriers to employment
  • 36 - joblessness can lead to personal + health problems that prevent person from getting a job again
  • 37 - most costs of unemployment are non-monetary: suggests that just providing income to unemployed would be inadequate

3: the job guarantee: a new social contract and macroeconomic model

  • 48 - precedent for job guarantee: buffer stock program where govt buys commodity, preventing it from going below price floor, then sells it back -> maintains price floor + employs the commodity
  • 48 - minimum wage is a weak floor bc it doesn't extend to unemployed
  • 50 - "It is indefensible on both economic and moral grounds to have run full employment and price support programs for agricultural commodities or gold, without doing the same for jobseekers."
  • 52 - no limit to budget that would be necessary to coax firms to full employment
  • 55 - families on short unemployment benefits cut spending much more than those who have guaranteed job option
  • 57 - job guarantee job creation wouldn't rely on interstate competition for firm subsidies

4: but how will you pay for it?

  • 80 - we currently use public purse to fund unemployment regime when instead we should fund an employment regime -> seems like covid throws a wrench in this, seems like we need both in pandemic conditions

5: what where, and how: jobs, design, and implementation

  • 90 - in 1949, minimum wage doubled without accelerating inflation in a time when economy was near full employment
  • 91 - infrastructure is permanent responsibility of govt, shouldn't only work on it during slumps; this isn't what job guarantee is for
  • 104 - "The program is productive because it eliminates the negative return from joblessness, and because it stabilizes the economy better than unemployment."
  • 105 - "When the emphasis is on the project, rather than on the person, it invariably becomes difficult to advocate for jobs for all. That becomes possible when the emphasis is on the scourge of unemployment and the need to guarantee the basic economic right to a job." <- initially didn't find this satisfying, but it's very honest. figuring out how I feel about it. it's an admission that some of this will be make-work
  • 105 - critique that employers would have to meet / exceed job guarantee standards: "This critique is a thinly veiled argument in support of firms' privilege to pay poverty wages."
  • 106 - euthanizing poverty jobs is feature, not bug - protest will come from firms, not workers

6: the job guarantee, the green new deal, and beyond

  • 122 - green new deal pays dues to workers in mining and oil
  • 123 - not hard to make them whole: only ~500k workers in mining, oil, gas

things to look up

  • 25 - sam fleming fed has no reliable theory of inflation
  • 70 - beardsley ruml 1946 article taxes for revenue are obsolete