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Effect of Gender Quotas on Some Qualities of Elites

Context

"In 1993, a constitutional amendment was passed in India that called for a random* one-third of [the] village council leader, or sarpanch, positions in gram panchayat, to be reserved for women. The village council, which encompasses between five and fifteen villages, is responsible for the provision of local infrastructure - such as public buildings, water, and roads - and for identifying government program beneficiaries. Although all decisions in the village council are made by majority, the pradhan is the only full-time member and exercises significant control over the final council decisions. The village council is required to organize two village meetings per year, during which they present their proposed budget and report on their activities in the previous six months. The pradhan must also set up regular office hours where villagers can lodge complaints or requests."

via https://www.povertyactionlab.org/evaluation/influencing-provision-social-services-through-mandated-female-representation

*there is no mention of random. In fact, there is a separate callout that these seats can be allocated by rotation: "Not less than one-third (including the number of seats reserved for women belonging to the Scheduled Castes and the Scheduled Tribes) of the total number of seats to be filled by direct election in every Panchayat shall be reserved for women and such seats may be allotted by rotation to different constituencies in a Panchayat."

https://www.india.gov.in/my-government/constitution-india/amendments/constitution-india-seventy-third-amendment-act-1992

Hypotheses About the Effect of Gender Quotas on Quality of Elites

  • Political Experience: Gender quotas in local electoral bodies are at least initially likely to cause candidates who are less experienced in politics. (In fact, that is one of the reasons for reserving seats for women.)

  • Criminal Record: Given women commit crime at vastly lower rates than men, we expect quotas to cause candidates with smaller criminal record.

  • Education: Given the inequalities in education, we expect gender quotas to cause less educated candidates (at least initially).

  • Occupation: Again, given inequalities in opportunities to work, we expect gender quotas to cause candidates who are not working professionally and given differences in human capital (caused by inequality in education, etc.), more blue-collar jobs.

  • Age: We expect gender quotas to cause younger candidates.

Some research suggests that how educated a politician is matters for growth (in certain contexts) (see here). Other research suggests that candidates with criminal records cause poverty. (see here).

Caveat = None of this is to say that the net output would be lower. In fact, there is plenty of research that suggests some positive consequences of reserving local body seats for women. The point may help with the interpretation of those effects.

Prior Research

See Table 3A here: https://www.nber.org/system/files/working_papers/w8615/w8615.pdf (Chattopadhyay and Duflo 2001)

See Table 8 and 9 here: https://vijayendrarao.org/papers/EDCC_Reservations_to_go.pdf (Ban and Rao 2008)

See Table 4 here: https://cgspace.cgiar.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/c85053d0-fd33-400a-b7bb-05a04874175f/content

They find yet more dramatic differences even when constraining themselves to SC/ST seats where they argue the differences are likely smaller.

Results

Table 1: Bihar 2016 Sarpanch Candidates by Reservation Status

Reservation Status (Hindi) Reservation Status (English) Illiterate Graduate+ Mean Age N
अनारक्षित Unreserved 0.02 0.15 46.86 17,345
अनारक्षित(महिला) Unreserved (Women) 0.08 0.04 41.35 13,776
अनुसूचित जनजाति Scheduled Tribe (ST) 0.01 0.05 44.53 293
अनुसूचित जनजाति(महिला) ST (Women) 0.05 0.02 38.03 62
अनुसूचित जाति Scheduled Caste (SC) 0.05 0.09 44.78 3,976
अनुसूचित जाति(महिला) SC (Women) 0.11 0.02 39.31 2,243
पिछड़ा वर्ग Backward Class (OBC) 0.03 0.09 46.19 4,654
पिछड़ा वर्ग(महिला) OBC (Women) 0.10 0.02 40.44 2,683

Table 2: Uttar Pradesh 2015 Candidates by Reservation Status

Reservation Status (Hindi) Reservation Status (English) Illiterate College+ N
अनारक्षित Unreserved 0.08 0.26 73,410
अनुसूचित जनजाति Scheduled Tribe (ST) 0.10 0.19 620
अनुसूचित जनजाति महिला ST Women 0.26 0.23 699
अनुसूचित जाति Scheduled Caste (SC) 0.16 0.15 26,875
अनुसूचित जाति महिला SC Women 0.32 0.09 17,513
अन्य पिछड़ा वर्ग Other Backward Class (OBC) 0.11 0.20 34,504
अन्य पिछड़ा वर्ग महिला OBC Women 0.25 0.12 20,819
महिला Women 0.21 0.15 32,193

Table 3: Uttar Pradesh 2021 Candidates by Reservation Status

Reservation Status (Hindi) Reservation Status (English) Illiterate College+ N
अनारक्षित Unreserved 0.09 0.17 126,028
अनुसूचित जनजाति Scheduled Tribe (ST) 0.11 0.10 1,034
अनुसूचित जनजाति महिला ST Women 0.21 0.07 678
अनुसूचित जाति Scheduled Caste (SC) 0.13 0.12 55,808
अनुसूचित जाति महिला SC Women 0.24 0.07 29,993
अन्य पिछड़ा वर्ग Other Backward Class (OBC) 0.10 0.15 64,610
अन्य पिछड़ा वर्ग महिला OBC Women 0.21 0.09 32,028
महिला Women 0.17 0.11 62,917

Table 4: Rajasthan Municipal Candidates by Ward Category

Ward Category Reservation Status (English) HS or Less Mean Age N
gen women General Women 0.73 41 396
general General 0.64 42 870
obc Other Backward Class (OBC) 0.67 42 287
obc women OBC Women 0.77 41 148
sc Scheduled Caste (SC) 0.67 40 203
sc women SC Women 0.80 35 104
st Scheduled Tribe (ST) 0.68 39 50
st women ST Women 0.86 37 21
women Women 0.81 43 26

But Kerala provides a nice counter-example with very small differences

Table 5: Kerala

LGI Type Reservation hs_or_below prop_bachelors prop_masters_or_above prop_other n
Block General 0.60 0.22 0.05 0.13 2478
Block Woman 0.66 0.18 0.04 0.12 2988
Block SC 0.71 0.09 0.03 0.16 446
Block SC Woman 0.74 0.12 0.02 0.12 214
Block ST 0.78 0.03 0.02 0.17 60
Block ST Woman 0.91 0.03 0.03 0.03 32
Corporation General 0.59 0.21 0.04 0.16 556
Corporation Woman 0.47 0.30 0.08 0.15 551
Corporation SC 0.66 0.17 0.00 0.17 35
Corporation SC Woman 0.60 0.14 0.07 0.19 43
District General 0.36 0.40 0.07 0.17 429
District Woman 0.44 0.36 0.07 0.13 449
District SC 0.57 0.27 0.00 0.16 51
District SC Woman 0.38 0.38 0.15 0.10 48
District ST 0.67 0.25 0.00 0.08 12
District ST Woman 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4
Grama Panchayat General 0.69 0.12 0.03 0.15 20149
Grama Panchayat Woman 0.72 0.12 0.03 0.13 22456
Grama Panchayat SC 0.77 0.07 0.02 0.14 2924
Grama Panchayat SC Woman 0.76 0.09 0.02 0.13 2250
Grama Panchayat ST 0.79 0.03 0.01 0.18 425
Grama Panchayat ST Woman 0.81 0.02 0.00 0.17 310
Municipality General 0.68 0.16 0.05 0.11 3840
Municipality Woman 0.68 0.17 0.04 0.10 3908
Municipality SC 0.79 0.09 0.03 0.09 297
Municipality SC Woman 0.70 0.14 0.05 0.12 307
Municipality ST 0.83 0.06 0.00 0.11 18
Municipality ST Woman 0.81 0.00 0.00 0.19 16

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Effect of Gender Quotas on Some Qualities of Elites

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