Traffic Status Prediction
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README.md

TrafficBDE

Aikaterini Chatzopoulou July 27, 2017

Build Status Pending Pull-Requests Github Issues Project Status: Active – The project has reached a stable, usable state and is being actively developed. packageversion Licence minimal R version

Intoduction

This package was created in order to enable the creation of a neural network model, for the needs of a European project. “TrafficBDE” includes functions for properly formulating the data, training the neural network and predicted the wanted variable. This document introduces you to TrafficBDE's basic set of tools.

The user should use only the loadData and the kStepsForward functions. The first one to load the historical data and the second for the computation of the predicted value.

Install Package

In order to install TrafficBDE, you should use the following code.

install.packages("devtools")
devtools::install_github("okgreece/TrafficBDE")

Input

The input dataset of the main function could be a link, a csv, an excel file. There are different parameters that a user could specify and interact with the results. The parameters: "path", "Link_id", "direction", "datetime", "predict" and "steps" should be defined by the user, to form the dataset. Then an automated process formulates the data in order to provide the prediction of the wanted variable for the desired time and road.

A sort description about the inputs.
Input Description

path

The path containing the historical data

Link_id

The Link_id of the road

dimension

The dimension of the road

datetime

The date time for the pediction. The format of the datetime should be '%Y-%m-%d %H:%M:%S'

predict

The argument to be predicted, appropriate values: "Mean_speed", "Entries", "Stdev_speed"

steps

How many steps forward the prediction will be

Output

The output of this process is a matrix with the predicted and real values and the RMSE. The rows are equal to the steps.

Examples

Simple examples the kStepsForward function are provided, in order for the user to understand the use and how to deal with these function.

The sample of the dataset that is being used is available in TrafficBDE package and represents the traffic fload of the road with Link_id: "163204843", for January 2017.

The first example provides, in one step, the prediction of the Mean speed at 14.00 on 27 Jan. 2017

library(TrafficBDE)
Data <- loadData("D:/packages/okgreece/TrafficBDE/data/163204843_1.RData")

kStepsForward(Data = Data, Link_id = "163204843", direction = "1", datetime = "2017-01-27 14:00:00", predict = "Mean_speed", steps = 1)
## Training...

## Loading required package: lattice

## Loading required package: ggplot2

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## Aggregating results
## Selecting tuning parameters
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## Training Completed.
## 
## Time taken for training:  2.446176867
## Predicting Mean_speed for the Next Quarter...

##                       Predicted Real Value        RMSE
## 2017-01-27 14:00:00 39.36150787         29 10.36150787

The second example provides, in one step, the prediction of the Entries at 20.00 on 15 Jan. 2017

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## Aggregating results
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## Training Completed.
## 
## Time taken for training:  1.870402149
## Predicting Entries for the Next Quarter...

##                       Predicted Real Value          RMSE
## 2017-01-15 20:00:00 1.012088733          1 0.01208873324

Github: