MATLAB scripts for "A Bayesian Analysis of the Radioactive Releases of Fukushima" (AISTATS 2012)

Instructions

1. Start MATLAB
2. Set opengl to software (avoids unexpected MATLAB crash)

opengl software;

1. Run the experiment

s_infer_fukushima1;

Results

Horizontal axis: dates. Vertical axis: dose rate in µSV/h.

Horizontal axis: number of iterations. Area around each curve: confidence of the model (or strength of the support from data in the Bayesian sense) that a nuclide with the corresponding decay constant existed.

Reference

• R. Tomioka & M. Mørup (2012) A Bayesian Analysis of the Radioactive Releases of Fukushima . In Proc. AI & Stats. 2012, La Palma, Spain.