Skip to content

Network approach to understanding conflict evolution

Notifications You must be signed in to change notification settings

s7minhas/conflictEvolution

Folders and files

NameName
Last commit message
Last commit date

Latest commit

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Repository files navigation

Networks of Violence: Predicting Conflict in Nigeria

Authors

Cassy Dorff, Max Gallop, Shahryar Minhas

Abstract

Civil conflicts are complex: multiple warring parties compete for control of territory both against each other and the government. These processes are often dynamic; changing over time and space. In this study, we embrace these complexities through a network based approach. By considering important relational patterns, such as reciprocity and transitivity, and tying them together with existing theoretical developments in the conflict processes literature, we answer the question of ‘who fights whom and when’ during civil conflict. Further, using the case of Nigeria, we offer novel theoretical insights about how the entrance of a new, aggressive actor can decisively alter the trajectory of conflict. In addition, we show that our approach is better at predicting ‘who fights whom and when’ in an out-of-sample context than extant approaches.

Replication Instructions

Follow instructions in replArchive directory. Any questions should be addressed to Shahryar Minhas.

Publication Outlet

Forthcoming in Journal of Politics

About

Network approach to understanding conflict evolution

Resources

Stars

Watchers

Forks

Releases

No releases published

Packages

No packages published