diff --git a/pyproject.toml b/pyproject.toml
index 156f5ba4b7..279dc41250 100644
--- a/pyproject.toml
+++ b/pyproject.toml
@@ -68,10 +68,18 @@ Homepage = "https://github.com/scikit-hep/pyhf"
 
 [project.optional-dependencies]
 shellcomplete = ["click_completion"]
+# TODO: 'tensorflow' supports all platform_machine for tensorflow v2.16.1+
+# but TensorFlow only supports python_version 3.8 up through tensorflow v2.13.1.
+# So until Python 3.8 support is dropped, split requirments on python_version
+# before and after 3.9.
+# NOTE: macos x86 support is deprecated from tensorflow v2.17.0 onwards.
 tensorflow = [
-    "tensorflow>=2.7.0; platform_machine != 'arm64'",  # c.f. PR #1962
-    "tensorflow-macos>=2.7.0; platform_machine == 'arm64' and platform_system == 'Darwin'",  # c.f. PR #2119
-    "tensorflow-probability>=0.11.0,!=0.20.0",  # c.f. PR #1657, PR #2203
+    # python == 3.8
+    "tensorflow>=2.7.0; python_version < '3.9' and platform_machine != 'arm64'",  # c.f. PR #1962, #2452
+    "tensorflow-macos>=2.7.0; python_version < '3.9' and platform_machine == 'arm64' and platform_system == 'Darwin'",  # c.f. PR #2119, #2452
+    "tensorflow-probability>=0.11.0; python_version < '3.9'",  # c.f. PR #1657, #2452
+    # python >= 3.9
+    "tensorflow-probability[tf]>=0.24.0; python_version >= '3.9'"  # c.f. PR #2452
 ]
 torch = ["torch>=1.10.0"]  # c.f. PR #1657
 jax = [