A collection of publicly traded securities I think will outperform1 SPY over a given time period (e.g. 1 year, 5 years, etc.).2
Ideas I still believe in that I've pitched somewhere publicly accessible
| Ticker | Date3 | Price4 | SPY | Pitch | Period (years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMRK | 2023-03-16 | $30.21 | $396.11 | 🎤 | 6 |
Ideas I find interesting right now but haven't pitched somewhere public
| Ticker | Date | Price | SPY | Period (years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GSL5 | 2022-09-17 | $18.04 | $385.56 | 3 |
| GLNG | 2023-03-17 | $20.27 | $389.99 | 4 |
| JXN | 2023-03-17 | $34.79 | $389.99 | 7 |
| VNO | 2023-03-17 | $14.20 | $389.99 | 4 |
| AFM.V | 2023-03-17 | $0.71 | $389.99 | 5 |
| BTI | 2023-05-25 | $32.53 | $414.65 | 3 |
| SEMR | 2023-05-26 | $7.45 | $420.02 | 4 |
| NEXOY | 2023-08-02 | $17.97 | $450.13 | 5 |
| KUT.V | 2023-08-02 | $3.70 | $450.13 | 3 |
| OEC | 2023-08-02 | $21.32 | $450.13 | 4 |
| CIB | 2023-08-02 | $28.60 | $450.13 | 2 |
| NTDOY5 | 2023-09-17 | $10.62 | $443.37 | 4 |
| ULTA | 2023-10-14 | $379.43 | $431.50 | 5 |
| CRL5 | 2023-10-14 | $191.02 | $431.50 | 5 |
| DNTL.TO | 2023-11-22 | $5.62 | $455.02 | 2 |
| BABA | 2023-11-27 | $77.53 | $454.48 | 1 |
| CPNG5 | 2024-01-29 | $14.53 | $491.27 | 3 |
| DAC | 2024-05-31 | $96.77 | $527.37 | 1 |
| APP5 | 2024-05-31 | $81.47 | $527.37 | 3 |
| RELY5 | 2024-05-31 | $12.99 | $527.37 | 4 |
| MOB.ST5 | 2024-05-31 | 25.50kr | $527.37 | 5 |
| TPR | 2024-11-03 | $46.97 | $571.04 | 1 |
| Ticker | Date | Start Price | End Price | Period (years) | Percentage change | SPY close on date of bet | Performance vs. SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBIT.V | 2022-12-306 | $0.04 | $0.12 | 1 | 200% | $382.43 | 173.82% |
| PBR-A | 2023-03-27 | $8.92 | $15.897 | 1 | 78.2% | $396.49 | 45.39% |
Ideas I had that I no longer think will outperform
🍋 = ideas from 'Still Ripening Bets' that have soured
| Ticker | Date | Price | SPY | Pitch | Period (years) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLNH | 2022-01-16 | $10.79 | $464.72 | 📝 | 3 |
| WU | 2023-04-12 | $11.11 | $408.11 | 🍋 | 2 |
| AAMC | 2023-08-02 | $43.00 | $450.13 | 🍋 | 3 |
| CSO.V | 2023-08-11 | $0.58 | $445.58 | 🍋 | 2 |
| PLCE | 2023-08-02 | $31.39 | $450.13 | 🍋 | 3 |
| TRP | 2023-08-02 | $36.01 | $450.13 | 🍋 | 3 |
| DK | 2023-03-24 | $21.87 | $395.75 | 🍋 | 2 |
| TCX | 2023-08-11 | $20.48 | $445.58 | 🍋 | 5 |
| DEC.L | 2023-09-17 | £87.80 | $443.37 | 🍋 | 3 |
| ALAR | 2024-05-31 | $35.58 | $527.37 | 🍋 | 3 |
| ARCH | 2023-03-21 | $131.40 | $398.91 | 🍋 | 2 |
| RIG | 2023-03-17 | $5.63 | $389.99 | 🍋 | 5 |
| GRVY | 2024-07-09 | $80.96 | $555.82 | 🍋 | 1 |
Ideas that for some reason or another I'm not yet ready to talk about. Maybe they are too small a marketcap or float and talking about them in public feels irresponsible. Or maybe I'm just keeping the best ideas for myself.
| Date | SPY | Period (years) |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-03 | $412.35 | 5 |
| 2023-02-21 | $399.09 | 5 |
| 2023-03-20 | $393.74 | 3 |
| 2024-11-03 | $571.04 | 4 |
Footnotes
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after adjusting for stock splits and dividends ↩
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all opinions subject to change and this is not intended to be investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any publicly traded securities. I may have a long or short position in the stocks mentioned and plan to change my positions before updating this document. DYODD. ↩
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date I added it here or seriously pitched it for the first time, whichever came first ↩
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most recent closing price, date of publishing ↩
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I have a beneficial long position in the stock as of my last revision of this document ↩ ↩2 ↩3 ↩4 ↩5 ↩6 ↩7
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submitted as the long half of the fintwit long/short contest. was revealed when the contest finished 2023 EOY. ↩
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after adjusting for dividends ↩