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Estimate the value of information (VOI) of receiving a signal in a simplified model.
Create probability distributions from percentiles (points on a CDF).
A Python package for the metalogistic (or metalog) distribution, a flexible probability distribution that can be used to model data without traditional parameters.
Do a Bayesian update with continuously distributed prior and likelihood.
The models used in the Open Philanthropy report "Semi-informative priors over AI timelines", and a companion web interface.
Check whether a formula in monadic predicate logic is a theorem.
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