When smoothing a scalar plot, apparently a higher weight is given to the first point. This means that, if there is steep change in the beginning of the graph, the smoothed line will be significantly off the unsmoothed data, and will only slowly move in that direction:

One possible way to fix that would be to also smooth the point count (the same way the values are smoothed) and divide by that. There are of course many other alternative approaches.
When smoothing a scalar plot, apparently a higher weight is given to the first point. This means that, if there is steep change in the beginning of the graph, the smoothed line will be significantly off the unsmoothed data, and will only slowly move in that direction:
One possible way to fix that would be to also smooth the point count (the same way the values are smoothed) and divide by that. There are of course many other alternative approaches.