Nature feature "The Fracking Fallacy"
masoninman edited this page Dec 12, 2014
·
23 revisions
- for forecasts that assume future natural gas prices following EIA's projection in its Annual Energy Outlook 2014
- in trillion cubic feet per year (Tcf/y): https://github.com/the-frack-lab/data/blob/gh-pages/natural-gas/US-long-term/Univ_Texas_shale_gas_EIA_price_case_Tcf.csv
- in billion cubic meters per year (Bcm/y): https://github.com/the-frack-lab/data/blob/gh-pages/natural-gas/US-long-term/Univ_Texas_shale_gas_EIA_price_case_Bcm.csv
- in trillion cubic feet per year (Tcf/y): https://github.com/the-frack-lab/data/blob/gh-pages/natural-gas/US-long-term/Fracking_Fallacy_hist_EIA_forecast_Tcf.csv
- in billion cubic meters per year (Bcm/y): https://github.com/the-frack-lab/data/blob/gh-pages/natural-gas/US-long-term/Fracking_Fallacy_hist_EIA_forecast_Bcm.csv
- From "Unconventional Reservoir Future: Science, Technology, and Economics," presentation by Scott Tinker at Unconventional Resources Technology Conference (URTeC), Aug 27, 2014, posted at: http://www.beg.utexas.edu/presentations/presentations/2014_presentations/URTEC%20Unconventional%20Reservoir%20Future2.pdf
- Data points taken from the graphs using WebPlotDigitizer: http://arohatgi.info/WebPlotDigitizer/
- Identical data also shown in subsequent presentations by Scott Tinker, posted at: http://www.beg.utexas.edu/presentations.php
www.beg.utexas.edu/shale/pubs.php
total natural gas production (dry):
- data for 1930-1969 from http://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_prod_sum_a_EPG0_FPD_mmcf_a.htm
onshore conventional (excl. Alaska), offshore (excl. Alaska), unconventional other than shale (inc. coalbed methane and tight gas), Alaska, shale gas:
- data for 1970-1989 from EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2000, Figure 90 http://www.eia.gov/oiaf/archive/aeo00/figure_90.html
- data for 1990-2040 (points from 2013 onward are forecasts) from EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2014, Figure MT-44 http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/MT_naturalgas.cfm#shale_gas
- unpublished, supplied to Mason Inman by EIA
- from EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2014, shale gas production by individual play (2000-2040) in trillion cubic feet per year: https://github.com/the-frack-lab/data/blob/gh-pages/natural-gas/US-long-term/EIA_AEO2014_Ref_t80_ShaleGasPlays_only_CLEAN_w_unnamed.csv