Rationale:
In general, I'd expect my forecasting biases to be topic dependent and horizon dependent. The horizon is already being recorded (when will you know), it'd be useful to tag predictions.
For example, I may realize that I am being over confident about work related predictions and under confident about leisure related predictions. I also suspect I am less biased for predictions about the near future than predictions about the future.
Right now, the graph displaying the bias is pretty basic. I'd like to be able to download my prediction history as an XML or CSV file so I can look at the data through various angle. This data might also be used to train a machine learning algorithm that debiases predictions based on topic, horizon, etc. If I had enough predictions and cared enough, I could even set up a contest on Kaggle to see who can come up with the best model of my bias.
Feature request:
Rationale:
In general, I'd expect my forecasting biases to be topic dependent and horizon dependent. The horizon is already being recorded (when will you know), it'd be useful to tag predictions.
For example, I may realize that I am being over confident about work related predictions and under confident about leisure related predictions. I also suspect I am less biased for predictions about the near future than predictions about the future.
Right now, the graph displaying the bias is pretty basic. I'd like to be able to download my prediction history as an XML or CSV file so I can look at the data through various angle. This data might also be used to train a machine learning algorithm that debiases predictions based on topic, horizon, etc. If I had enough predictions and cared enough, I could even set up a contest on Kaggle to see who can come up with the best model of my bias.