Skip to content
No description, website, or topics provided.
Branch: master
Clone or download
Latest commit b0a4383 Jul 1, 2019
Permalink
Type Name Latest commit message Commit time
Failed to load latest commit information.
01.csv
02.csv
03.csv
04.csv Add files via upload Mar 20, 2019
05.csv Add files via upload Mar 20, 2019
06.csv Add files via upload Mar 20, 2019
07.csv Add files via upload Mar 25, 2019
08.csv Add files via upload Apr 10, 2019
09.csv Add files via upload Apr 23, 2019
10.csv
11.csv
12.csv
13.csv Add files via upload Jun 3, 2019
14.csv Add files via upload Jun 11, 2019
15.csv
16.csv Add files via upload Jul 1, 2019
README.md

README.md

dem-primary-2020

This is a continually updating repository with the latest results of the INSIDER poll conducted on SurveyMonkey Audience in order to fuel our conditional preference forecast.

Basically, we ask lots of Americans a few basic things on SurveyMonkey Audience.

  • We ask them if they're registered to vote.
  • We ask them if they think they'll probably participate in their state's presidential primary/caucus and if so, which one.
  • We ask them, from a list of Democratic primary contenders, which they are familiar with.
  • Once we know that, we ask them which of those contenders they would be satisfied with as nominee. Then we ask which they'd be unsatisfied with. For our purposes, we're only really interested in the answers to these questions from registered voters who say they'll probably vote in the Democratic primary, but everyone's asked it either way.
  • Sometimes, we ask everyone which of those candidates they think would probably beat President Trump in a general election, and which of those candidates they think would probably lose to the president. We're interested in everyone's answer here.

We run this question package periodically. The CSV files above contain the responses to those pieces. Here's additional descriptive statistics for each package. Candidates were dropped off as they exited the race.

01.csv: 1109 respondents, 12/21/18 - 12/22/18, +/- 3.12%, 378 reg. Dems

02.csv: 1233 respondents, 01/26/19 - 01/27/19, +/- 2.95%, 421 reg. Dems

03.csv: 1093 respondents, 02/01/19 - 02/03/19, +/- 3.09%, 443 reg. Dems

04.csv: 1117 respondents, 02/15/19 - 02/16/19, +/- 3.07%, 398 reg. Dems

05.csv: 1055 respondents, 02/24/19 - 02/26/19, +/- 3.14%, 385 reg. Dems

06.csv: 1102 respondents, 03/01/19 - 03/02/19, +/- 3.10%, 397 reg. Dems

07.csv: 1086 respondents, 03/22/19 - 03/23/19, +/- 3.13%, 428 reg. Dems

08.csv: 1103 respondents, 04/05/19 - 04/06/19, +/- 3.10%, 374 reg. Dems

09.csv: 1110 respondents, 04/18/19 - 04/18/19, +/- 3.15%, 462 reg. Dems

10.csv: 1144 respondents, 04/26/19 - 04/27/19, +/- 3.07%, 433 reg. Dems

11.csv: 1127 respondents, 05/10/19 - 05/11/19, +/- 3.12%, 432 reg. Dems

12.csv: 1168 respondents, 05/17/19 - 05/18/19, +/- 3.08%, 485 reg. Dems

13.csv: 1107 respondents, 05/31/19 - 06/02/19, +/- 3.10%, 466 reg. Dems

14.csv: 1126 respondents, 06/07/19 - 06/08/19, +/- 3.07%, 420 reg. Dems

15.csv: 1191 respondents, 06/21/19 - 06/22/19, +/- 3.02%, 427 reg. Dems

16.csv: 1172 respondents, 06/28/19 - 06/29/19, +/- 3.02%, 448 reg. Dems

You can’t perform that action at this time.