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何时应该ALL IN? #69

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adsfgs opened this issue Aug 15, 2019 · 0 comments
Open

何时应该ALL IN? #69

adsfgs opened this issue Aug 15, 2019 · 0 comments
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@adsfgs
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adsfgs commented Aug 15, 2019

何时应该ALL IN,就跟最低点在哪里一样,是个争议性话题,却也是每个人不得不面对的问题。

以中证500代表全市场来分析。中证500上周刚刚进入钻石坑4600点,距离去年最低点3948点有16%的空间,如果网格以5%一格,也就是3格的距离。而去年最低点几无可能回来,最多再给2格也就是10%向下的空间。

个人认为,钻石坑以下,长期看风险极小,收益极大。就算市场真的跌回去年最低点,也只是买贵了6%而已,却要承受踏空的风险,很可能得不偿失。这个位置,3年2倍是大概率事件。

当然,市场真的跌10%还是20%,也是未知。当前仓位是多少,很重要,比如我有9成仓,自己很舒服,仓位低的不舒服的朋友就要考虑加快速度。可以按5%网格分步打满,怕踏空也可以一步到位。若果真有更大跌幅,有计划外闲钱的还可以按网格继续抄底,降低成本,等上来了再释放一些仓位。没闲钱的就气定神闲等风来,时间不是问题。

@adsfgs adsfgs added the finance label Aug 15, 2019
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