assumptions_caveats.md

Assumptions and caveats log

This log contains a list of assumptions and caveats used in this analysis.

Definitions

Assumptions are RAG-rated according to the following definitions for quality and impact¹:

RAG	Assumption quality	Assumption impact
Green	Reliable assumption, well understood and/or documented; anything up to a validated & recent set of actual data.	Marginal assumptions; their changes have no or limited impact on the outputs.
Amber	Some evidence to support the assumption; may vary from a source with poor methodology to a good source that is a few years old.	Assumptions with a relevant, even if not critical, impact on the outputs.
Red	Little evidence to support the assumption; may vary from an opinion to a limited data source with poor methodology.	Core assumptions of the analysis; the output would be drastically affected by their change.

Assumption 1: Insert plain English title here

• Quality: Insert RAG rating here
• Impact: Insert RAG rating here

Add plain English description here.

Assumption 2: Insert plain English title here

• Quality: Insert RAG rating here
• Impact: Insert RAG rating here

Add plain English description here.

Footnotes

1. With thanks to the Home Office Analytical Quality Assurance team for these definitions. ↩