/
neurips_social.py
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/
neurips_social.py
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"""
Parameters for neurips_social
"""
"""
Imports
"""
import sys
sys.path.append("src")
# Common assumptions
import utilities.assumptions.assumptions_baserates as adb
# Modify parameters for different robustness scenarios
import utilities.functions.robustness as fr
# Specifying distribution shape or magnitude of parameters
import squigglepy as sq
from squigglepy.numbers import K, M
"""
Specify parameters, building up from simple assumptions
"""
research_relevance_with_program = (
(2 * 10 + 1 * 5 + 3 * 3 + 10 * 1)
+ (0.2 * 3 + (2 / 10) * 100)
+ ((400 - 2 - 1 - 3 - 10 - 0.2 - 0.2) * 0.1)
) / 400
research_relevance_without_program = (
(2 * 10 + 1 * 5 + 3 * 3 + 10 * 1)
+ (0 * 3 + 0 * 100)
+ ((400 - 2 - 1 - 3 - 10 - 0 - 0) * 0.1)
) / 400
params_build_cost_and_participants = {
# Cost
"target_budget": 5.25 * K,
"fixed_hours_labor": sq.to(40, 70),
"average_wage": 50,
"split_variable_cost_event": 0.95,
"split_variable_cost_award": 0,
"sd_variable_cost_event": 100,
"sd_variable_cost_award": 0,
"sd_hours_labor": 10,
"fixed_cost_other": 0,
"event_max_capacity_per_1000": 200,
# Number of people
"n_attendee_scaling_parameter_gamma": 1,
"n_attendee_scaling_parameter_slope": 40,
"n_attendee_scaling_parameter_intercept": 0,
"fraction_attendee_scientist": sq.beta(0.1 * 300, (1 - 0.1) * 300),
"fraction_attendee_professor": sq.beta(0.2 * 300, (1 - 0.2) * 300),
"fraction_attendee_engineer": sq.beta(0.15 * 300, (1 - 0.15) * 300),
# Pipeline and scientist-equivalence
"p_scientist_given_phd": 1,
"p_professor_given_phd": 0,
"p_engineer_given_phd": 0,
"scientist_equivalent_professor": 1,
"scientist_equivalent_engineer": 1,
"scientist_equivalent_phd": 1,
# Ability
"ability_at_first_attendee_scientist": 1,
"ability_at_pivot_attendee_scientist": 1,
"ability_pivot_point_attendee_scientist": 10,
"ability_at_first_attendee_professor": 1,
"ability_at_pivot_attendee_professor": 1,
"ability_pivot_point_attendee_professor": 10,
"ability_at_first_attendee_engineer": 1,
"ability_at_pivot_attendee_engineer": 1,
"ability_pivot_point_attendee_engineer": 10,
"ability_at_first_attendee_phd": 1,
"ability_at_pivot_attendee_phd": 1,
"ability_pivot_point_attendee_phd": 10,
# Hours
"hours_on_entry_per_attendee_scientist": 0,
"hours_on_entry_per_attendee_professor": 0,
"hours_on_entry_per_attendee_engineer": 0,
"hours_on_entry_per_attendee_phd": 0,
"hours_scientist_per_year": adb.hours_scientist_per_year,
# Research avenue relevance
"research_relevance_attendee_scientist": 0.01,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_scientist": 0.01,
"research_relevance_attendee_professor": 0.01,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_professor": 0.01,
"research_relevance_attendee_engineer": 0.01,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_engineer": 0.01,
"research_relevance_attendee_phd": 0.01,
"research_relevance_multiplier_after_phd_attendee_phd": 1,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_phd": 0.01,
# Productivity, staying in AI research, and time discounting
"research_discount_rate": 0,
"years_since_phd_scientist": 15 - adb.years_in_phd,
"years_since_phd_professor": 15 - adb.years_in_phd,
"years_since_phd_engineer": 10 - adb.years_in_phd,
"years_since_phd_phd": 3 - adb.years_in_phd,
"years_in_phd": adb.years_in_phd,
"slope_productivity_life_cycle": 0,
"pivot_productivity_life_cycle": adb.pivot_productivity_life_cycle,
"slope_staying_in_ai": 0,
"pivot_staying_in_ai": adb.pivot_staying_in_ai,
"end_staying_in_ai": adb.end_staying_in_ai,
# Flags
"participant_contender": False,
"participant_attendee": True,
}
additional_params_build_cost_and_participants_cf = {
"research_relevance_attendee_scientist": 0,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_scientist": 0,
"research_relevance_attendee_professor": 0,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_professor": 0,
"research_relevance_attendee_engineer": 0,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_engineer": 0,
"research_relevance_attendee_phd": 0,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_phd": 0,
}
params_build_cost_and_participants_cf = {
**params_build_cost_and_participants,
**additional_params_build_cost_and_participants_cf,
}
additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence = {
"p_scientist_given_phd": adb.p_scientist_given_phd,
"p_professor_given_phd": adb.p_professor_given_phd,
"p_engineer_given_phd": adb.p_engineer_given_phd,
"scientist_equivalent_professor": adb.scientist_equivalent_professor,
"scientist_equivalent_engineer": adb.scientist_equivalent_engineer,
"scientist_equivalent_phd": adb.scientist_equivalent_phd,
}
additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf = {}
params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence = {
**params_build_cost_and_participants,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence,
}
params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf = {
**params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence,
**additional_params_build_cost_and_participants_cf,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf,
}
additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability = {
"research_relevance_attendee_scientist": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_scientist": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_professor": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_professor": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_engineer": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_engineer": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_phd": research_relevance_with_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_phd": research_relevance_with_program,
}
additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability_cf = {
"research_relevance_attendee_scientist": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_scientist": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_professor": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_professor": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_engineer": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_engineer": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_attendee_phd": research_relevance_without_program,
"research_relevance_during_program_attendee_phd": research_relevance_without_program,
}
params_build_relevance_and_ability = {
**params_build_cost_and_participants,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence,
**additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability,
}
params_build_relevance_and_ability_cf = {
**params_build_relevance_and_ability,
**additional_params_build_cost_and_participants_cf,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf,
**additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability_cf,
}
additional_params_build_remaining_time_functions = {
"research_discount_rate": adb.research_discount_rate,
"slope_productivity_life_cycle": adb.slope_productivity_life_cycle,
"slope_staying_in_ai": adb.slope_staying_in_ai,
}
additional_params_build_remaining_time_functions_cf = {}
params_build_remaining_time_functions = {
**params_build_cost_and_participants,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence,
**additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability,
**additional_params_build_remaining_time_functions,
}
params_build_remaining_time_functions_cf = {
**params_build_remaining_time_functions,
**additional_params_build_cost_and_participants_cf,
**additional_params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf,
**additional_params_build_relevance_and_ability_cf,
**additional_params_build_remaining_time_functions_cf,
}
"""
Default parameters
"""
params_mainline = params_build_remaining_time_functions
params_mainline_cf = params_build_remaining_time_functions_cf
"""
Dictionary of parameter dictionaries
"""
params = {
"mainline": params_mainline,
"mainline_cf": params_mainline_cf,
"build_cost_and_participants": params_build_cost_and_participants,
"build_cost_and_participants_cf": params_build_cost_and_participants_cf,
"build_pipeline_and_equivalence": params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence,
"build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf": params_build_pipeline_and_equivalence_cf,
"build_relevance_and_ability": params_build_relevance_and_ability,
"build_relevance_and_ability_cf": params_build_relevance_and_ability_cf,
"build_remaining_time_functions": params_build_remaining_time_functions,
"build_remaining_time_functions_cf": params_build_remaining_time_functions_cf,
}
"""
Standard robustness checks
"""
checks = [
"larger_difference_in_scientist_equivalence",
"smaller_difference_in_scientist_equivalence",
"larger_labor_costs",
"smaller_labor_costs",
"more_senior_attendee_composition",
"less_senior_attendee_composition",
]
params = fr.perform_robustness_checks(params, checks)