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Proposal for a sublineage of AY.39.1.1 with Spike N481K and R765H circulating in Hawke's Bay Region, New Zealand (96 seqs) #431

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c19850727 opened this issue Feb 9, 2022 · 2 comments
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not accepted A proposal for a new lineage has not been accepted

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@c19850727
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c19850727 commented Feb 9, 2022

Description
Sub-lineage of: AY.39.1.1
Earliest sequence: 2021/12/28 (New Zealand)
Most recent sequence: 2022/2/2 (New Zealand)
Countries circulating: New Zealand (predominantly in the Hawke's Bay and Wellington Region)

Substitutions on top of AY.39.1.1:

Gene Mutations
ORF1a G1101S, T2967I
Spike N481K, R765H
N N140S
nuc T18213C, C22624T, C24130T

What I proposes is actually a few step further into the tree, as it seems it's the only subclade that's still significantly growing now.

Evidence

Nextstrain Oceania-focused subsampling (filtered to AY.39.1.1, yellow color=branch with S:R765H and N:N140S, red color=branch with S:N481K):
image

Geographical distribution as per Nextstrain (Oceania-focused subsampling):
image
https://nextstrain.org/ncov/gisaid/oceania?branchLabel=aa&c=gt-S_481,765&f_pango_lineage=AY.39.1.1

Usher tree (yellow color=AY.39.1.1, red color=branch with S:R765H and N:N140S, green color=sub-branch with S:N481K):
image

Usher tree displaying country of submission (starting from the branch with S:R765H and N:N140S):
image
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_2cc7c_2a5600.json?c=gt-S_765,481

Variant comparison as per Cov-spectrum (baseline=AY.39.1.1, purple line=AY.39.1.1+S:R765H, golden line=AY.39.1.1+S:R765H+S:N481K):
image

Relative growth advantage as per Cov-spectrum:
image
https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/New%20Zealand/AllSamples/Past6M/variants?aaMutations=S%3AR765H%2CS%3AN481K&pangoLineage=AY.39.1.1&aaMutations1=S%3AR765H%2CS%3AN481K&pangoLineage1=AY.39.1.1

Genomes:
AY.39.1.1+N481K.csv

@c19850727
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Another 20 sequences were recently uploaded, and there are 115 in total now, with the latest one being collected on Feb 9th.

The relative growth over Omicron in New Zealand now is -9% as per Cov-spectrum.

image

@chrisruis
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Thanks @c19850727 I'll close this for now as it doesn't look like this has been seen for a while

@chrisruis chrisruis added the not accepted A proposal for a new lineage has not been accepted label May 11, 2022
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