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Proposal for a sublineage of BA.4
Earliest sequence: 2022-04-19 (Austria)
Countries detected: Austria (61 seq, all from Vienna)
Defining mutations:
S:V3G, then ORF7a:P84L + nuc:C29686T, then ORF1a:P971S
Most sequences have a further ORF1b:P314F (as opposed to ORF1b:P314L in B.1 and all its descendants)
Austria is one of the countries outside Africa with the highest proportion of BA.4 - possibly 5-10%, though the proportion may be exaggerated because BA.4 has only been detected in Vienna and the most recent sequencing has mainly been from there. Over 80% of BA.4 in Austria belongs to this lineage. It is a sublineage of the big branch of BA.4 with S:V3G proposed by @corneliusroemer in #548. ORF1a:P971S = 3176T (orange in the Usher tree above) appears to coincide with the introduction into Austria: there are two South African sequences (blue in the tree) with ORF7a:P84L + nuc:C29686T but not ORF1a:P971S.
The numbers are too small to tell if there's a transmission advantage over the rest of BA.4, but I think the geographic link combined with BA.4's growth advantage in Austria is enough to warrant a designation. This should wait until a decision is made on whether to designate the S:V3G branch.
Proposal for a sublineage of BA.4
Earliest sequence: 2022-04-19 (Austria)
Countries detected: Austria (61 seq, all from Vienna)
Defining mutations:
S:V3G, then ORF7a:P84L + nuc:C29686T, then ORF1a:P971S
Most sequences have a further ORF1b:P314F (as opposed to ORF1b:P314L in B.1 and all its descendants)
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_29162_81b940.json?c=gt-nuc_3176,27644&label=nuc%20mutations:C27644T,C29686T
Austria is one of the countries outside Africa with the highest proportion of BA.4 - possibly 5-10%, though the proportion may be exaggerated because BA.4 has only been detected in Vienna and the most recent sequencing has mainly been from there. Over 80% of BA.4 in Austria belongs to this lineage. It is a sublineage of the big branch of BA.4 with S:V3G proposed by @corneliusroemer in #548. ORF1a:P971S = 3176T (orange in the Usher tree above) appears to coincide with the introduction into Austria: there are two South African sequences (blue in the tree) with ORF7a:P84L + nuc:C29686T but not ORF1a:P971S.
The numbers are too small to tell if there's a transmission advantage over the rest of BA.4, but I think the geographic link combined with BA.4's growth advantage in Austria is enough to warrant a designation. This should wait until a decision is made on whether to designate the S:V3G branch.
Cov-spectrum query: https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past6M/variants?variantQuery=12160A+%26+9866C+%26+27644T+%26+21570G+%26+3176T&
EPI_ISLs: austria_ba4.txt
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