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core.py
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core.py
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import os
import re
import string
import pandas as pd
import seaborn as sns
PLACEHOLDER_NAMES = ('Unknown', 'Baby', 'Infant', 'Unnamed', 'Unborn', 'Notnamed', 'Newborn')
class Filepath:
DATA_DIR = 'data/'
NATIONAL_DATA_DIR = 'data/names/'
TERRITORIES_DATA_DIR = 'data/namesbyterritory/'
ACTUARIAL = 'data/actuarial/{sex}.csv'
APPLICANTS_DATA = 'data/applicants/data.csv'
AGE_PREDICTION_REFERENCE = 'data/generated/age_prediction_reference.csv'
GENDER_PREDICTION_REFERENCE = 'data/generated/gender_prediction_reference.csv'
TOTAL_NUMBER_LIVING_REFERENCE = 'data/generated/raw_with_actuarial.total_number_living.csv'
class Year:
MIN_YEAR = 1880
MAX_YEAR = int(re.search('^yob([0-9]{4}).txt$', os.listdir(Filepath.NATIONAL_DATA_DIR)[-1]).group(1))
DATA_QUALITY_BEST_AFTER = 1937
class GenderRatios:
F = (0, .1)
M = (.9, 1)
NEUTRAL = (.3, .7)
NEUTRAL_BROAD = (.2, .8)
class DFAgg:
NUMBER_SUM = dict(number='sum', number_f='sum', number_m='sum')
class Builder:
def __init__(self, *args, **kwargs) -> None:
self._include_territories = kwargs.get('include_territories')
self._sexes = ('f', 'm')
self._calcd = None
self._include_territories = False # todo: re-rank accounting for territories
def build_base(self) -> None:
self._load_data()
self._load_applicants_data()
self._build_raw_and_name_by_year_from_concatenated()
self._build_peaks()
self._build_calcd_with_ratios_and_number_pct()
self._build_raw_with_actuarial()
self._load_predict_age_reference()
def ingest_alternate_calcd(self, calcd: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
self._calcd = calcd.copy()
def _load_data(self) -> None:
data = []
for data_directory, is_territory in self._data_directories.items():
for filename in os.listdir(data_directory):
if not filename.lower().endswith('.txt'):
continue
data.append(self._load_one_file(filename, is_territory))
self._concatenated = pd.concat(data)
def _load_predict_age_reference(self) -> None:
dtype = dict(name=str, sex=str, year=int, number_living_pct=float)
self._age_reference = pd.read_csv(Filepath.AGE_PREDICTION_REFERENCE, usecols=list(dtype.keys()), dtype=dtype)
def _load_applicants_data(self) -> None:
self._applicants_data = pd.read_csv(Filepath.APPLICANTS_DATA, dtype=int)
def _build_raw_and_name_by_year_from_concatenated(self) -> None:
self._concatenated.sex = self._concatenated.sex.str.lower()
self._concatenated.rank_ = self._concatenated.rank_.map(int)
if self._include_territories:
# combine territories w/ national
self._raw = self._concatenated.groupby(['name', 'sex', 'year', 'rank_'], as_index=False).number.sum()
else:
self._raw = self._concatenated.copy()
self._name_by_year = self._raw.groupby(['name', 'year'], as_index=False).number.sum()
self._name_by_year['rank_'] = self._name_by_year.groupby('year').number.rank(method='min', ascending=False)
def _build_peaks(self) -> None:
peaks_base = pd.concat((self._raw, self._name_by_year.assign(sex='all')))
self._peaks = peaks_base.groupby(['name', 'sex'], as_index=False).agg(dict(rank_='min')).merge(
peaks_base, on=['name', 'sex', 'rank_'], how='left').sort_values('year')
self._peaks.rank_ = self._peaks.rank_.map(int)
def _build_calcd_with_ratios_and_number_pct(self) -> None:
_separate = lambda x: self._raw[self._raw.sex == x].drop(columns='sex').rename(columns=dict(rank_='rank'))
self._calcd = _separate('f').merge(_separate('m'), on=['name', 'year'], suffixes=(
'_f', '_m'), how='outer').merge(self._name_by_year, on=['name', 'year']).sort_values('year')
for s in self._sexes:
self._calcd[f'number_{s}'] = self._calcd[f'number_{s}'].fillna(0).map(int)
self._calcd[f'ratio_{s}'] = self._calcd[f'number_{s}'] / self._calcd.number
self._calcd[f'rank_{s}'] = self._calcd[f'rank_{s}'].fillna(-1).map(int)
self._calcd.rank_ = self._calcd.rank_.map(int)
self._calcd = self._calcd.merge(self._applicants_data, on='year', suffixes=('', '_total'))
for s in self._sexes:
self._calcd[f'number_pct_{s}'] = self._calcd[f'number_{s}'] / self._calcd[f'number_{s}_total']
self._calcd['number_pct'] = self._calcd.number / self._calcd.number_total
self._calcd = self._calcd.drop(columns=['number_f_total', 'number_m_total', 'number_total'])
def _build_raw_with_actuarial(self) -> None:
# loses years before 1900
self.raw_with_actuarial = self._raw.merge(self._load_actuarial_data(), on=['sex', 'year'])
self.raw_with_actuarial['number_living'] = (
self.raw_with_actuarial.number * self.raw_with_actuarial.survival_prob)
def _load_one_file(self, filename: str, is_territory: bool = False) -> pd.DataFrame:
df = self._load_one_file_territory(filename) if is_territory else self._load_one_file_national(filename)
df['rank_'] = df.groupby('sex').number.rank(method='min', ascending=False)
return df
@staticmethod
def _load_one_file_national(filename: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
year = re.search('yob([0-9]+)\.txt', filename).group(1)
dtypes = {'name': str, 'sex': str, 'number': int}
df = pd.read_csv(Filepath.NATIONAL_DATA_DIR + filename, names=list(dtypes.keys()), dtype=dtypes).assign(
year=year)
df.year = df.year.map(int)
return df
@staticmethod
def _load_one_file_territory(filename: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
dtypes = {'territory': str, 'sex': str, 'year': int, 'name': str, 'number': int}
df = pd.read_csv(Filepath.TERRITORIES_DATA_DIR + filename, names=list(dtypes.keys()), dtype=dtypes).drop(
columns='territory')
return df
def _load_actuarial_data(self) -> pd.DataFrame:
actuarial = pd.concat(pd.read_csv(Filepath.ACTUARIAL.format(sex=s), usecols=[
'year', 'age', 'survivors'], dtype=int).assign(sex=s) for s in self._sexes)
actuarial = actuarial[actuarial.year == Year.MAX_YEAR].copy()
actuarial['birth_year'] = actuarial.year - actuarial.age
actuarial['survival_prob'] = actuarial.survivors / 100_000
actuarial = actuarial.drop(columns=['year', 'survivors']).rename(columns={'birth_year': 'year'})
return actuarial
@property
def _data_directories(self) -> dict:
data_directories = {Filepath.NATIONAL_DATA_DIR: False}
if self._include_territories:
data_directories[Filepath.TERRITORIES_DATA_DIR] = True
return data_directories
@property
def calculated(self) -> pd.DataFrame:
return self._calcd
class Displayer(Builder):
def __init__(self, *args, **kwargs) -> None:
super().__init__(*args, **kwargs)
def name(
self,
name: str,
after: int = None,
before: int = None,
year: int = None,
display: bool | str = None,
) -> dict:
df = self._calcd.copy()
# filter on name
name = _standardize_name(name)
df = df[df.name == name]
if not len(df):
return {}
# build metadata
selected_year = {'selected_year': _restructure_earliest_or_latest(df[df.year == year].iloc[0])} if year else {}
earliest, latest = df.iloc[[0, -1]].to_dict('records')
# filter on years
df = _filter_on_years(df, year, after, before)
if not len(df):
return {}
if display:
self._make_plot_for_name(df, name, display)
# aggregate
grouped = df.groupby('name', as_index=False).agg(DFAgg.NUMBER_SUM)
for s in self._sexes:
grouped[f'ratio_{s}'] = grouped[f'number_{s}'] / grouped.number
# build output
grouped = grouped.iloc[0].to_dict()
output = {
'name': grouped['name'],
**dict(after=after, before=before, year=year),
'numbers': {
'total': grouped['number'],
'f': grouped['number_f'],
'm': grouped['number_m'],
},
'ratios': {
'f': grouped['ratio_f'],
'm': grouped['ratio_m'],
},
'peak': self.get_peak(name),
'latest': _restructure_earliest_or_latest(latest),
'earliest': _restructure_earliest_or_latest(earliest),
**selected_year,
}
return output
def search(
self,
pattern: str = None,
start: tuple = None,
end: tuple = None,
contains: tuple = None,
contains_any: tuple = None,
not_start: tuple = None,
not_end: tuple = None,
not_contains: tuple = None,
order: tuple = None,
length_min: int = None,
length_max: int = None,
number_min: int = None,
number_max: int = None,
gender: tuple[float, float] | str = None,
after: int = None,
before: int = None,
year: int = None,
peaked: pd.DataFrame = None,
top: int = 20,
sort_sex: str = None,
display: bool = False,
) -> pd.DataFrame | list:
df = self._calcd.copy()
# exclude placeholder names
df = df[~df.name.isin(PLACEHOLDER_NAMES)].copy()
# filter on years
df = _filter_on_years(df, year, after, before).copy()
# aggregate
agg_fields = DFAgg.NUMBER_SUM.copy()
if year:
agg_fields.update(dict(rank_='min', rank_f='min', rank_m='min'))
df = df.groupby('name', as_index=False).agg(agg_fields)
for s in self._sexes:
df[f'ratio_{s}'] = df[f'number_{s}'] / df.number
# add lowercase name for filtering
df['name_lower'] = df.name.str.lower()
# filter on numbers
if number_min:
df = df[df.number >= number_min]
if number_max:
df = df[df.number <= number_max]
# filter on length
if length_min or length_max:
if length_min:
df = df[df.name.map(len) >= length_min]
if length_max:
df = df[df.name.map(len) <= length_max]
# filter on ratio
if type(gender) == str:
gender = dict(f=GenderRatios.F, x=GenderRatios.NEUTRAL, m=GenderRatios.M).get(gender)
if gender:
df = df[(df.ratio_m >= gender[0]) & (df.ratio_m <= gender[1])]
# apply text filters
if pattern:
df = df[df.name.apply(lambda x: re.search(pattern, x, re.I)).map(bool)]
if start:
df = df[df.name_lower.str.startswith(tuple(i.lower() for i in start))]
if end:
df = df[df.name_lower.str.endswith(tuple(i.lower() for i in end))]
if contains:
df = df[df.name_lower.apply(lambda x: all((i.lower() in x for i in contains)))]
if contains_any:
df = df[df.name_lower.apply(lambda x: any((i.lower() in x for i in contains_any)))]
if order:
df = df[df.name_lower.apply(lambda x: re.search('.*'.join(order), x, re.I)).map(bool)]
# apply text not-filters
if not_start:
df = df[~df.name_lower.str.startswith(tuple(i.lower() for i in not_start))]
if not_end:
df = df[~df.name_lower.str.endswith(tuple(i.lower() for i in not_end))]
if not_contains:
df = df[~df.name_lower.apply(lambda x: any((i.lower() in x for i in not_contains)))]
if not len(df):
return df
sort_field = f'number_{sort_sex}' if sort_sex else 'number'
df = df.sort_values(sort_field, ascending=False).drop(columns='name_lower')
if peaked is not None:
df = df[df.name.isin(peaked.name)].copy()
if top:
df = df.head(top).copy()
if display:
return [_make_search_display_string(*i) for i in df[['name', 'number', 'ratio_f', 'ratio_m']].to_records(
index=False)]
return df
def predict_age(self, name: str, sex: str, mid_percentile: float = .68) -> pd.DataFrame:
name = _standardize_name(name)
lower_percentile = .5 - mid_percentile / 2
upper_percentile = 1 - lower_percentile
df = self._age_reference.copy()
df = df[(df.name == name) & (df.sex == sex)].drop(columns='sex')
df.number_living_pct = df.number_living_pct.cumsum()
df['lower'] = (lower_percentile - df.number_living_pct).abs()
df['upper'] = (upper_percentile - df.number_living_pct).abs()
df = (
df[(df.lower == df.lower.min()) | (df.upper == df.upper.min())]
.sort_values('year')
.assign(bound=['lower', 'upper'])
.assign(percentile=[lower_percentile, upper_percentile])
.set_index('bound')
)[['percentile', 'year']]
percentile_band = df.percentile.upper - df.percentile.lower
year_band = df.year.upper - df.year.lower
df = df.T.assign(band=[percentile_band, year_band]).T
df.year = df.year.map(int)
return df
def predict_gender(
self,
name: str,
after: int = None,
before: int = None,
year: int = None,
living: bool = False,
) -> dict:
# set up
name = _standardize_name(name)
output = dict(name=name)
df = self.raw_with_actuarial.copy()
if living:
df = df.drop(columns='number').rename(columns={'number_living': 'number'})
output['living'] = True
# filter dataframe
df = df[df.name == name].copy()
if year:
df = df[df.year == year]
output['year'] = year
else:
if after:
df = df[df.year >= after]
output['after'] = after
if before:
df = df[df.year <= before]
output['before'] = before
# add to output
number = df.number.sum()
output['number'] = int(number)
if number:
numbers = df.groupby('sex').number.sum()
prediction = 'f' if numbers.get('f', 0) > numbers.get('m', 0) else 'm'
output.update(dict(
prediction=prediction,
confidence=round(numbers[prediction] / number, 2),
))
return output
def filter_for_peaked_search(self, **kwargs) -> pd.DataFrame:
peaked_within = self._peaks.copy()
if after := kwargs.get('after'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.year >= after]
if before := kwargs.get('before'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.year <= before]
if year := kwargs.get('year'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.year == year]
if sex := kwargs.get('sex', 'all'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.sex == sex]
if rank_min := kwargs.get('rank_min'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.rank_ >= rank_min]
if rank_max := kwargs.get('rank_max'):
peaked_within = peaked_within[peaked_within.rank_ <= rank_max]
return peaked_within
def get_peak(self, name: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
return self._peaks[self._peaks.name == name].groupby(['sex', 'year']).agg(dict(
rank_='min', number='max')).sort_values(['sex', 'year'])
def _make_plot_for_name(self, df: pd.DataFrame, name: str, display: bool | str) -> None:
value_field_name = 'number' if type(display) == bool else display
year_field = 'year'
display_fields = list(map(lambda x: f'{value_field_name}_{x}', self._sexes))
historic = df[[year_field, *display_fields]].melt([year_field], display_fields, '', value_field_name)
historic[''] = historic[''].str.slice(-1)
ax = sns.lineplot(historic, x='year', y=value_field_name, hue='', palette=(
'red', 'blue'), hue_order=self._sexes)
ax.set_title(name)
ax.figure.tight_layout()
def _filter_on_years(df: pd.DataFrame, year: int = None, after: int = None, before: int = None) -> pd.DataFrame:
if year:
df = df[df.year == year]
return df
if after:
df = df[df.year >= after]
if before:
df = df[df.year <= before]
return df
def _make_display_ratio(ratio_f: float, ratio_m: float, ignore_ones: bool = False) -> str:
if ignore_ones and (ratio_f == 1 or ratio_m == 1):
return ''
elif ratio_f > ratio_m:
return f'f={int(round(ratio_f * 100))}%'
elif ratio_m > ratio_f:
return f'm={int(round(ratio_m * 100))}%'
else: # they're equal
return 'no lean'
def _make_search_display_string(name: str, number: int, ratio_f: float, ratio_m: float) -> str:
if display_ratio := _make_display_ratio(ratio_f, ratio_m):
display_ratio = '; ' + display_ratio
return f'{name} (n={number:,}{display_ratio})'
def _restructure_earliest_or_latest(earliest: dict) -> dict:
return dict(
year=earliest['year'],
number=dict(total=earliest['number'], f=earliest['number_f'], m=earliest['number_m']),
rank=dict(f=earliest['rank_f'], m=earliest['rank_m']),
)
def _standardize_name(name: str) -> str:
reference = {
'a': 'à|á',
'c': 'ç',
'e': 'è|é|ê|ë',
'i': 'í|î',
'n': 'ñ',
'o': 'ó|ô',
'u': 'ù|ú|ü',
}
name = name.lower()
for deacc, acc in reference.items():
name = re.sub(acc, deacc, name)
return ''.join(re.findall(f'[{string.ascii_lowercase}]+', name)).title()
def build_predict_gender_reference(
displayer: Displayer = None,
after: int = None,
before: int = None,
ratio_min: float = .8,
n_min: int = 0,
) -> None:
df = displayer.calculated.copy()
if after:
df = df[df.year >= after]
if before:
df = df[df.year <= before]
df = df.groupby('name', as_index=False).agg(DFAgg.NUMBER_SUM)
df.loc[df.number_f > df.number_m, 'gender_prediction'] = 'f'
df.loc[df.number_f < df.number_m, 'gender_prediction'] = 'm'
df.loc[df.number_f == df.number_m, 'gender_prediction'] = 'x'
if ratio_min:
ratio_f = df.number_f / df.number
ratio_m = df.number_m / df.number
df.loc[(ratio_f < ratio_min) & (ratio_m < ratio_min), 'gender_prediction'] = 'x'
if n_min:
df.loc[df.number < n_min, 'gender_prediction'] = 'rare'
df.gender_prediction = df.gender_prediction.fillna('unk')
df[['name', 'gender_prediction']].to_csv(Filepath.GENDER_PREDICTION_REFERENCE, index=False)
def build_total_number_living_from_actuarial(raw_with_actuarial: pd.DataFrame) -> None:
total_number_living = raw_with_actuarial.groupby(['name', 'sex'], as_index=False).number_living.sum()
total_number_living.to_csv(Filepath.TOTAL_NUMBER_LIVING_REFERENCE, index=False)
def _read_total_number_living() -> pd.DataFrame:
dtype = dict(name=str, sex=str, number_living=float)
return pd.read_csv(Filepath.TOTAL_NUMBER_LIVING_REFERENCE, usecols=list(dtype.keys()), dtype=dtype)
def build_predict_age_reference(raw_with_actuarial: pd.DataFrame, age_min: int = 0, n_min: int = 0) -> None:
ref = raw_with_actuarial.loc[raw_with_actuarial.age >= age_min, ['name', 'sex', 'year', 'number_living']].copy()
ref = ref.groupby(['name', 'sex', 'year'], as_index=False).number_living.sum().merge(
_read_total_number_living(), on=['name', 'sex'], suffixes=('', '_name'))
ref = ref[ref.number_living_name >= n_min].copy()
ref['number_living_pct'] = ref.number_living / ref.number_living_name
ref = ref.drop(columns=['number_living', 'number_living_name']).sort_values('year')
ref.to_csv(Filepath.AGE_PREDICTION_REFERENCE, index=False)
def build_all_generated_data() -> None:
displayer = Displayer()
displayer.build_base()
build_predict_gender_reference(displayer)
build_total_number_living_from_actuarial(displayer.raw_with_actuarial)
build_predict_age_reference(displayer.raw_with_actuarial)
def melt_applicants_data(apps: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame:
apps_melted = apps.melt(['year'], ['number_m', 'number_f', 'number'], 'sex', 'number_')
apps_melted = apps_melted.rename(columns=dict(number_='number'))
apps_melted.loc[apps_melted.sex == 'number_f', 'sex'] = 'f'
apps_melted.loc[apps_melted.sex == 'number_m', 'sex'] = 'm'
apps_melted.loc[apps_melted.sex == 'number', 'sex'] = 'all'
return apps_melted