library.bib

@Manual{EricBrown2020,
  title = {data2019nCoV: Data on the COVID-19 Outbreak},
  author = {Eric Brown},
  year = {2020},
  note = {R package version 0.40.1}
  }

@webpage{WorldHealthOrganization:sitrep,
  author = {World Health Organization},
  title = {Coronavirus disease (COVID-2019) situation reports},
  url = {https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports}
}


@Article{NCoVUtils,
  title = {NCoVUtils: Utility functions for the 2019-NCoV outbreak},
  author = {Sam Abbott and Joel Hellewell and James D. Munday and Sebastian Funk},
  journal = {-},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {-},
  number = {-},
  pages = {-},
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.3635417}
  }
  

@webpage{italydata,
  author = {{Dipartimento della Protezione Civile}},
  title = {Dati COVID-19 Italia},
  url = {https://github.com/pcm-dpc/COVID-19}
}


  @Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2019},
    url = {https://www.R-project.org/},
  }

@Manual{EpiEstim,
    title = {EpiEstim: Estimate Time Varying Reproduction Numbers from Epidemic Curves},
    author = {Anne Cori},
    year = {2019},
    note = {R package version 2.2-1},
    url = {https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=EpiEstim}
  }

@article{wallinga2004,
    author = {Wallinga, Jacco and Teunis, Peter},
    title = {Different Epidemic Curves for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Reveal  Similar Impacts of Control Measures},
    journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
    volume = {160},
    number = {6},
    pages = {509-516},
    year = {2004},
    month = {09},
    issn = {0002-9262},
    doi = {10.1093/aje/kwh255},
    url = {https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwh255},
    eprint = {https://academic.oup.com/aje/article-pdf/160/6/509/179728/kwh255.pdf}
}

@article{cori2013,
    author = {Cori, Anne and Ferguson, Neil M. and Fraser, Christophe and Cauchemez, Simon},
    title = {A New Framework and Software to Estimate Time-Varying Reproduction Numbers During Epidemics},
    journal = {American Journal of Epidemiology},
    volume = {178},
    number = {9},
    pages = {1505-1512},
    year = {2013},
    month = {09},
    issn = {0002-9262},
    doi = {10.1093/aje/kwt133},
    url = {https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwt133},
    eprint = {https://academic.oup.com/aje/article-pdf/178/9/1505/17341195/kwt133.pdf}
}


@Misc{rstan,
    title = {RStan: the R interface to Stan},
    author = {{Stan Development Team}},
    note = {R package version 2.19.3},
    year = {2020},
    url = {http://mc-stan.org/}
  }
  
@article{Nishiura2020.02.03.20019497,
	author = "Nishiura, Hiroshi and Linton, Natalie M and Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.",
	title = {Serial interval of novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infections},
	elocation-id = {2020.02.03.20019497},
	year = {2020},
	doi = {10.1101/2020.02.03.20019497},
	publisher = {Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press},
	URL = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/02/17/2020.02.03.20019497},
	eprint = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/02/17/2020.02.03.20019497.full.pdf},
	journal = {medRxiv}
}

@webpage{Imai:webreport3,
author = "Imai, Natsuki and Cori, Anne and Dorigatti, IIaria and Baguellin, Marc and Donnelly, Christl A and Riley, Steven and Ferguson, Neil M",
title = {Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-nCoV},
url = {https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-2019-nCoV-transmissibility.pdf}
}


@webpage{kraemer2020epidemiological,
  author = "Xu, Bo and Gutierrez, Bernardo and Hill, Sarah and Scarpino, Samuel and Loskill, Alyssa and Wu, Jessie and Sewalk, Kara and Mekaru, Sumiko and Zarebski, Alexander and Pybus, Oliver and Pigott, David and Kraemer, Moritz",
  title = "Epidemiological Data from the nCoV-2019 Outbreak: Early Descriptions from Publicly Available Data",
  url = {http://virological.org/t/epidemiological-data-from-the-ncov-2019-outbreak-early-descriptions-from-publicly-available-data/337}
}



@article{THOMPSON2019100356,
  title = "Improved inference of time-varying reproduction numbers during infectious disease outbreaks",
  journal = "Epidemics",
  volume = "29",
  pages = "100356",
  year = "2019",
  issn = "1755-4365",
  doi = "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2019.100356",
  url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436519300350",
  author = "R.N. Thompson and J.E. Stockwin and R.D. van Gaalen and J.A. Polonsky and Z.N. Kamvar and P.A. Demarsh and E. Dahlqwis and S. Li and E. Miguel and T. Jombart and J. Lessler and S. Cauchemez and A. Cori"
}

@article{Park2019,
title = "A practical generation-interval-based approach to inferring the strength of epidemics from their speed",
journal = "Epidemics",
volume = "27",
pages = "12 - 18",
year = "2019",
issn = "1755-4365",
doi = "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2018.12.002",
url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436518300847",
author = "Sang Woo Park and David Champredon and Joshua S. Weitz and Jonathan Dushoff"}


@article{Thompson:2020bc,
  title = "2019-20 Wuhan coronavirus outbreak: Intense surveillance is vital for preventing sustained transmission in new locations",
  author = "R.N. Thompson",
  journal = "bioRxiv",
  year = "2020",
  pages = "1 - 14"
}


@techreport{gehrcke_covid-19_2020,
    address = {Germany},
    type = {Github {Repository}},
    title = {COVID-19 case numbers in Germany by state, over time},
    copyright = {MIT License},
    shorttitle = {{COVID}-19 case numbers in {Germany}},
    url = {https://github.com/jgehrcke/covid-19-germany-gae},
    language = {German},
    author = {Gehrcke, Jan-Philip},
    year = {2020}
}

@techreport{jhu_2019_2020,
    title = {2019 Novel Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) Data Repository},
    copyright = {Copyright 2020 Johns Hopkins University},
    url = {https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COVID-19},
    language = {English},
    institution = {Johns Hopkins CSSE},
    year = {2020}
}

@techreport{doughty_visualisation_2020,
    type = {Github Repository},
    title = {Visualisation of COVID-19 official UK case data},
    url = {https://github.com/emmadoughty/Daily_COVID-19/},
    language = {English},
    author = {Doughty, Emma},
    year = {2020}
}

@techreport{ecdc_data,
    title = {Download Today's Data on the Geographic Distribution of COVID-19 Cases Worldwide.},
    url = {www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide},
    language = {English},
    author = {European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control},
    year = {2020}
}

@article{Vehtari2016,
    archivePrefix = {arXiv},
    arxivId = {arXiv:1507.04544v4},
    author = {Vehtari, Aki and Gelman, Andrew and Gabry, Jonah},
    doi = {10.1007/s11222-016-9696-4},
    eprint = {arXiv:1507.04544v4},
    issn = {15731375},
    journal = {Stat. Comput.},
    number = {September},
    pages = {1--20},
    title = {Practical Bayesian model evaluation using leave-one-out cross-validation and WAIC},
    year = {2016}
}

@article{gneiting_strictly_2007,
	title = {Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation},
	volume = {102},
	issn = {0162-1459, 1537-274X},
	url = {http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1198/016214506000001437},
	doi = {10.1198/016214506000001437},
	language = {en},
	number = {477},
	urldate = {2020-03-22},
	journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
	author = {Gneiting, Tilmann and Raftery, Adrian E},
	month = mar,
	year = {2007},
	pages = {359--378}
}

@article{NOUVELLET201829,
  title = "A simple approach to measure transmissibility and forecast incidence",
  journal = "Epidemics",
  volume = "22",
  pages = "29 - 35",
  year = "2018",
  note = "The RAPIDD Ebola Forecasting Challenge",
  issn = "1755-4365",
  doi = "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epidem.2017.02.012",
  url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436517300245",
  author = "Pierre Nouvellet and Anne Cori and Tini Garske and Isobel M. Blake and Ilaria Dorigatti and Wes Hinsley and Thibaut Jombart and Harriet L. Mills and Gemma Nedjati-Gilani and Maria D. Van Kerkhove and Christophe Fraser and Christl A. Donnelly and Neil M. Ferguson and Steven Riley"}


@article{jordan_evaluating_2019,
	title = {Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts with scoringRules},
	volume = {90},
	issn = {1548-7660},
	url = {http://www.jstatsoft.org/v90/i12/},
	doi = {10.18637/jss.v090.i12},
	language = {en},
	number = {12},
	urldate = {2020-03-07},
	journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
	author = {Jordan, Alexander and Krüger, Fabian and Lerch, Sebastian},
	year = {2019}
}

@article{10.7326/M20-0504,
    author = {Lauer, Stephen A. and Grantz, Kyra H. and Bi, Qifang and Jones, Forrest K. and Zheng, Qulu and Meredith, Hannah R. and Azman, Andrew S. and Reich, Nicholas G. and Lessler, Justin},
    title = "The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application",
    journal = {Annals of Internal Medicine},
    year = {2020},
    month = {03},
    issn = {0003-4819},
    doi = {10.7326/M20-0504},
    url = {https://doi.org/10.7326/M20-0504},
    eprint = {https://annals.org/acp/content\_public/journal/aim/0/aime202005050-m200504.pdf},
}

@Manual{fable,
    title = {fable: Forecasting Models for Tidy Time Series},
    author = {Mitchell O'Hara-Wild and Rob Hyndman and Earo Wang},
    year = {2020},
    note = {R package version 0.1.2},
    url = {https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=fable}
  }
  

@Manual{episoon,
    title = {EpiSoon: Forecast Cases Using Reproduction Numbers},
    author = {Sam Abbott and Joel Hellewell and Nikos Bosse and Katharine Sherratt and James Munday and Robin Thompson and Sebastian Funk},
    year = {2020},
    note = {R package version 0.3.0},
    url = {https://epiforecasts.io/EpiSoon}
  }
  
@Article{scoringrules,
    title = {Evaluating Probabilistic Forecasts with scoringRules},
    author = {Alexander Jordan and Fabian Kruger and Sebastian Lerch},
    journal = {Journal of Statistical Software},
    year = {2019},
    volume = {90},
    number = {12},
    pages = {1--37},
    doi = {10.18637/jss.v090.i12}
  }

  
@Manual{scoringutils,
    title = {scoringutils: A collection of proper scoring rules and metrics to assess predictions},
    author = {Nikos Bosse},
    year = {2020},
    note = {R package version 0.0.0.9000},
    url = {https://github.com/epiforecasts/scoringutils}
  }
  
@article{Funk2019cc,
  author = {Funk, Sebastian and Camacho, Anton and Kucharski, Adam J and Lowe, Rachel and Eggo, Rosalind M and Edmunds, W John},
  title = {Assessing the performance of real-time epidemic forecasts: A case study of Ebola in the Western Area region of Sierra Leone, 2014-15},
  journal = {PLoS computational biology},
  year = {2019},
  volume = {15},
  number = {2},
  pages = {e1006785--17}
}

@Manual{epinow,
    title = {EpiNow: Estimate Realtime Case Counts and Time-varying Epidemiological Parameters},
    author = {Sam Abbott and Joel Hellewell and James Munday and Robin Thompson and Sebastian Funk},
    year = {2020},
    note = {R package version 0.1.0},
    url = {https://github.com/epiforecasts/EpiNow}
  }


@techreport{white_coronavirus_2020,
	title = {Coronavirus (COVID-19) UK Historical Data},
	url = {https://github.com/tomwhite/covid-19-uk-data},
	author = {Tom White},
	year = {2020}
}

@techreport{noauthor_coronavirus_2020,
	title = {Coronavirus (COVID-19) Cases in the UK},
	url = {https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/},
	institution = {Public Health England},
	year = {2020}
}

@techreport{cota_monitoring_2020,
    type = {preprint},
    title = {Monitoring the number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Brazil at municipal and federative units level},
    url = {https://preprints.scielo.org/index.php/scielo/preprint/view/362/version/371},
    language = {English},
    author = {Cota, Wesley},
    year = {2020},
    doi = {10.1590/SciELOPreprints.362}
}

@techreport{noauthor_covid19-india_2020,
	title = {COVID19-India API},
	copyright = {GPL-3.0},
	url = {https://github.com/covid19india/api},
	institution = {covid19india.org},
	type = {Github Repository},
	date = {2020}
}

@report{noauthor_tabelle_2020,
	location = {Germany},
	title = {Tabelle mit den aktuellen Covid-19 Infektionen pro Tag (Zeitreihe)},
	rights = {Open Data Datenlizenz Deutschland – Namensnennung – Version 2.0 zur Verfügung},
	url = {https://npgeo-corona-npgeo-de.hub.arcgis.com/datasets/dd4580c810204019a7b8eb3e0b329dd6_0},
	institution = {Robert Koch Institut; Bundesamt für Kartographie und Geodäsie},
	date = {2020}
}


@article{incubationperiod,
  author = {Lauer, Stephen A and Grantz, Kyra H and Bi, Qifang and Jones, Forrest K and Zheng, Qulu and Meredith, Hannah R and Azman, Andrew S and Reich, Nicholas G and Lessler, Justin},
  title = {The Incubation Period of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) From Publicly Reported Confirmed Cases: Estimation and Application},
  journal = {Annals of Internal Medicine},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {172},
  number = {9},
  pages = {577--582}
}


@article{generationinterval,
  author = {Ganyani, Tapiwa and Kremer, Cecile and Chen, Dongxuan and Torneri, Andrea and Faes, Christel and Wallinga, Jacco and Hens, Niel},
  title = {Estimating the generation interval for coronavirus disease (COVID-19) based on symptom onset data, March 2020},
  journal = {Eurosurveillance},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {25},
  number = {17}
}

@Manual{forecastHybrid,
    title = {forecastHybrid: Convenient Functions for Ensemble Time Series Forecasts},
    author = {David Shaub and Peter Ellis},
    year = {2020},
    note = {https://gitlab.com/dashaub/forecastHybrid,
https://github.com/ellisp/forecastHybrid},
  }

@article{Abbott:2020hj,
  author = {Abbott, Sam and Hellewell, Joel and Munday, James and Funk, Sebastian},
  title = {The transmissibility of novel Coronavirus in the early stages of the 2019-20 outbreak in  Wuhan: Exploring initial point-source exposure sizes and durations using scenario analysis.},
  journal = {Wellcome open research},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {5},
  pages = {17}
}

@article{10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15842.1,
  author = {Endo, A and Abbott, S and Kucharski, A J and Funk, S},
  title = {Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak size outside China [version 1; peer review: 1 approved]},
  journal = {Wellcome open research},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {5},
  number = {67}
}

@article{Britton:2019gf,
  author = {Britton, Tom and Scalia Tomba, Gianpaolo},
  title = {Estimation in emerging epidemics: biases and remedies},
  journal = {Journal of the Royal Society, Interface},
  year = {2019},
  volume = {16},
  number = {150}
}

@article{Linton:2020gg,
  author = {Linton, Natalie M and Kobayashi, Tetsuro and Yang, Yichi and Hayashi, Katsuma and Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R and Jung, Sung-Mok and Yuan, Baoyin and Kinoshita, Ryo and Nishiura, Hiroshi},
  title = {Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data.},
  journal = {Journal of clinical medicine},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {9},
  number = {2}
}

@article{Cori:2017fg,
  author = {Cori, Anne and Donnelly, Christl A and Dorigatti, Ilaria and Ferguson, Neil M and Fraser, Christophe and Garske, Tini and Jombart, Thibaut and Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma and Nouvellet, Pierre and Riley, Steven and Van Kerkhove, Maria D and Mills, Harriet L and Blake, Isobel M},
  title = {Key data for outbreak evaluation: building on the Ebola experience.},
  journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
  year = {2017},
  volume = {372},
  number = {1721}
}

@article{Mizumoto:2020ct,
  author = {Mizumoto, Kenji and Kagaya, Katsushi and Zarebski, Alexander and Chowell, Gerardo},
  title = {Estimating the asymptomatic proportion of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)   cases on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship, Yokohama, Japan, 2020.},
  journal = {Eurosurveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin},
  year = {2020},
  volume = {25},
  number = {10}
}

@article{Donker:2011fk,
  author = {Donker, Tjibbe and van Boven, Michiel and van Ballegooijen, W Marijn and Van't Klooster, Tessa M and Wielders, Cornelia C and Wallinga, Jacco},
  title = {Nowcasting pandemic influenza A/H1N1 2009 hospitalizations in the Netherlands.},
  journal = {European journal of epidemiology},
  year = {2011},
  volume = {26},
  number = {3},
  pages = {195--201}
}

@article{vandeKassteele:2019cn,
  author = {van de Kassteele, Jan and Eilers, Paul H C and Wallinga, Jacco},
  title = {Nowcasting the Number of New Symptomatic Cases During Infectious Disease Outbreaks Using Constrained P-spline Smoothing.},
  journal = {Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)},
  year = {2019},
  volume = {30},
  number = {5},
  pages = {737--745}
}

@article{Fraser:2007hf,
  author = {Fraser, Christophe},
  title = {Estimating individual and household reproduction numbers in an emerging epidemic.},
  journal = {PloS one},
  year = {2007},
  volume = {2},
  number = {8},
  pages = {e758}
}


@article{Camacho:2015dv,
  author = {Camacho, Anton and Kucharski, Adam and Aki-Sawyerr, Yvonne and White, Mark A and Flasche, Stefan and Baguelin, Marc and Pollington, Timothy and Carney, Julia R and Glover, Rebecca and Smout, Elizabeth and Tiffany, Amanda and Edmunds, W John and Funk, Sebastian},
  title = {Temporal Changes in Ebola Transmission in Sierra Leone and Implications for Control Requirements: a Real-time Modelling Study.},
  journal = {PLoS currents},
  year = {2015},
  volume = {7}
}

@webpage{Russell:BFVkJ6lQ,
author = {Russell, T W},
title = {Using a delay-adjusted case fatality ratio to estimate under-reporting},
url = {https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/severity/global_cfr_estimates.html}
}

@article{Price:2020dh,
author = {Price, David J and Shearer, Freya M and Meehan, Michael T and McBryde, Emma and Moss, Robert and Golding, Nick and Conway, Eamon J and Dawson, Peter and Cromer, Deborah and Wood, James and Abbott, Sam and McVernon, Jodie and McCaw, James M},
title = {Early analysis of the Australian COVID-19 epidemic},
year = {2020},
pages = {1--22}
}


@techreport{russia-data-repo,
    title = {COVID-19 data from JHU CSSE, updated with details on Russian regions},
    url = {https://github.com/grwlf/COVID-19_plus_Russia},
    author = {Sergey Mironov},
    type = {Github Repository},
    date = {2020}
}

@techreport{colombia-data-repo,
    title = {Covid-19: Seguimiento diario en Colombia},
    url = {https://github.com/ideascol/covid19},
    author = {Meili Vanegas-Hernandez and Lina M. Ramirez Leguizamón and Juan Camilo Chaves Puentes},
    type = {Github Repository},
    date = {2020}
}

@techreport{afghan-data-repo,
    title = {Afghanistan: Coronavirus(COVID-19) Subnational Cases},
    copyright = {CC BY},
    url = {https://data.humdata.org/dataset/afghanistan-covid-19-statistics-per-province},
    institution = {Humanitarian Data Exchange and Afghanistan Ministry of Health},
    date = {2020}
}


 @Article{covidregionaldata,
    title = {covidregionaldata: Subnational Data for the Covid-19 Outbreak},
    author = {Sam Abbott and Katharine Sherratt and Jonnie Bevan and Hamish Gibbs and Joel Hellewell and James Munday and Patrick Barks and Paul Campbell and Flavio Finger and Sebastian Funk},
    journal = {-},
    year = {2020},
    volume = {-},
    number = {-},
    pages = {-},
    doi = {10.5281/zenodo.3957539},
  }
  
@Article{rtwebsite,
    author = {Abbott, S and Hellewell, J and Thompson, RN and Sherratt, K and Gibbs, HP and Bosse, NI and Munday, JD and Meakin, S and Doughty, EL and Chun, JY and Chan, YWD and Finger, F and Campbell, P and Endo, A and Pearson, CAB and Gimma, A and Russell, T and null, null and Flasche, S and Kucharski, AJ and Eggo, RM and Funk, S},
    title = {Estimating the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2 using national and subnational case counts},
    journal = {Wellcome Open Research},
    volume = {5},
    year = {2020},
    number = {112},
   doi = {10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16006.1}
   }


  @Article{rtd3,
    title = {RtD3: Rt Visualization in D3},
    author = {Hamish Gibbs and Sam Abbott and Sebastian Funk},
    journal = {Zenodo},
    year = {2020},
    volume = {-},
    number = {-},
    pages = {-},
    doi = {10.5281/zenodo.4011841},
  }
  
  
   @Article{epinow2,
    title = {EpiNow2: Estimate Real-Time Case Counts and Time-Varying Epidemiological Parameters},
    author = {Sam Abbott and Joel Hellewell and Joe Hickson and James Munday and Katelyn Gostic and Peter Ellis and Katharine Sherratt and Hamish Gibbs and Robin Thompson and Sophie Meakin and Nikos Bosse and Paul Mee and Sebastian Funk},
    journal = {-},
    year = {2020},
    volume = {-},
    number = {-},
    pages = {-},
    doi = {10.5281/zenodo.3957489},
  }


@misc{approxGP,
    title={Practical Hilbert space approximate Bayesian Gaussian processes for probabilistic programming},
    author={Gabriel Riutort-Mayol and Paul-Christian Bürkner and Michael R. Andersen and Arno Solin and Aki Vehtari},
    year={2020},
    eprint={2004.11408},
    archivePrefix={arXiv},
    primaryClass={stat.CO}
}

  @Manual{distill,
    title = {distill: R Markdown Format for Scientific and Technical Writing},
    author = {JJ Allaire and Rich Iannone and Yihui Xie},
    year = {2020},
    note = {R package version 0.8},
    url = {https://github.com/rstudio/distill},
  }
  
  
  @Book{rmarkdown,
    title = {R Markdown: The Definitive Guide},
    author = {Yihui Xie and J.J. Allaire and Garrett Grolemund},
    publisher = {Chapman and Hall/CRC},
    address = {Boca Raton, Florida},
    year = {2018},
    note = {ISBN 9781138359338},
    url = {https://bookdown.org/yihui/rmarkdown},
  }
  
 @data{dataverse,
    author = {Abbott, Sam and Hickson, Joe and Allen, Jamie and Funk, Sebastian},
    publisher = {Harvard Dataverse},
    title = {National and subnational estimates of the time-varying reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2},
    year = {2020},
    url = {https://dataverse.harvard.edu/dataverse/covid-rt}
}

@article {rt-comparison,
    author = {Sherratt, Katharine and Abbott, Sam and Meakin, Sophie R and Hellewell, Joel and Munday, James D and Bosse, Nikos and , and Jit, Mark and Funk, Sebastian},
	  title = {Evaluating the use of the reproduction number as an epidemiological tool, using spatio-temporal trends of the Covid-19 outbreak in England},
   	year = {2020},
  	doi = {10.1101/2020.10.18.20214585},
  	publisher = {Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press},
  	URL = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/10/20/2020.10.18.20214585},
	  eprint = {https://www.medrxiv.org/content/early/2020/10/20/2020.10.18.20214585.full.pdf},
  	journal = {medRxiv}
}