Opinion Poll by SCB, 29 April–28 May 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Party
Last Result
Poll Result
80% Confidence Interval
90% Confidence Interval
95% Confidence Interval
99% Confidence Interval
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D)
24.2%
27.6%
27.0–28.2%
26.8–28.4%
26.7–28.5%
26.4–28.8%
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)
9.7%
17.1%
16.6–17.6%
16.5–17.8%
16.3–17.9%
16.1–18.2%
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP)
13.6%
16.0%
15.5–16.5%
15.4–16.7%
15.3–16.8%
15.0–17.0%
Kristdemokraterna (EPP)
5.9%
13.0%
12.5–13.5%
12.4–13.6%
12.3–13.7%
12.1–13.9%
Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL)
6.3%
8.7%
8.3–9.1%
8.2–9.2%
8.1–9.3%
8.0–9.5%
Centerpartiet (RE)
6.5%
6.9%
6.6–7.3%
6.5–7.4%
6.4–7.4%
6.2–7.6%
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)
15.4%
5.7%
5.4–6.0%
5.3–6.1%
5.2–6.2%
5.1–6.4%
Liberalerna (RE)
9.9%
3.7%
3.4–4.0%
3.4–4.0%
3.3–4.1%
3.2–4.2%
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti (S&D) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
5
0.1%
100%
Last Result
6
99.8%
99.9%
Median
7
0.1%
0.1%
8
0%
0%
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Sverigedemokraterna (ECR) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
2
0%
100%
Last Result
3
2%
100%
4
98%
98%
Median
5
0%
0%
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
3
58%
100%
Last Result, Median
4
42%
42%
5
0%
0%
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Kristdemokraterna (EPP) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
0%
100%
Last Result
2
0%
100%
3
100%
100%
Median
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
0%
100%
Last Result
2
100%
100%
Median
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Centerpartiet (RE) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
48%
100%
Last Result
2
52%
52%
Median
3
0%
0%
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
100%
100%
Median
2
0%
0%
3
0%
0%
4
0%
0%
Last Result
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberalerna (RE) page.
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
0
92%
100%
Median
1
8%
8%
2
0%
0%
Last Result
Coalition
Last Result
Median
Majority?
80% Confidence Interval
90% Confidence Interval
95% Confidence Interval
99% Confidence Interval
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) – Kristdemokraterna (EPP)
4
6
0%
6–7
6–7
6–7
6–7
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)
2
4
0%
4
4
4
3–4
Vänsterpartiet (GUE/NGL)
1
2
0%
2
2
2
2
Centerpartiet (RE) – Liberalerna (RE)
3
2
0%
1–2
1–2
1–2
1–3
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)
4
1
0%
1
1
1
1
Moderata samlingspartiet (EPP) – Kristdemokraterna (EPP)
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
4
0%
100%
Last Result
5
0%
100%
6
58%
100%
Median
7
42%
42%
8
0%
0%
Sverigedemokraterna (ECR)
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
2
0%
100%
Last Result
3
2%
100%
4
98%
98%
Median
5
0%
0%
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
0%
100%
Last Result
2
100%
100%
Median
Centerpartiet (RE) – Liberalerna (RE)
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
40%
100%
2
59%
60%
Median
3
0.6%
0.6%
Last Result
4
0%
0%
Miljöpartiet de gröna (Greens/EFA)
Number of Seats
Probability
Accumulated
Special Marks
1
100%
100%
Median
2
0%
0%
3
0%
0%
4
0%
0%
Last Result
Polling firm: SCB
Commissioner(s): —
Fieldwork period: 29 April–28 May 2019
Sample size: 9092
Simulations done: 1,048,576
Error estimate: 0.40%