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future predictions #62

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krinkere opened this issue Jun 6, 2019 · 3 comments
Open

future predictions #62

krinkere opened this issue Jun 6, 2019 · 3 comments

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@krinkere
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krinkere commented Jun 6, 2019

How do you predict future data let's say for a year?
i see how you take observed values, and then compare the results of the model to the actual to determine how accurate you are, but i dont see how you can easily say, predict for next year

@bronko79
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bronko79 commented Sep 5, 2019

Did you find an answer?

@JaktensTid
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Have the same question too

@VincieD
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VincieD commented Aug 5, 2020

You can predict a data sequence for a year, but it will be slightly inaccurate... ;)

In general, load your model and use the function "predict_point_by_point". Iterate in a for loop for a given window_size (a year for instance... depends what timestemp did you used during trainig, so you will have to recalculate it). Store and shift the current_predicted_window for a new prediction and re-run the prediction. At the end your model will predict a state based on its own prediction (therefore i would not recommend such an approach) :)

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