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3.Statistical_Analyses.md

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1. Summary

Statistical analyses were performed on the continuous and categorical variables against the markup on minimum ticket prices. I found it interesting that markups had a slight, but significant negative correlation to Spotify popularity and followers. Day of the week doesn't seem to be as important as I would have believed, as the analysis did not find weekend events to have markups significantly higher than the mean or weekdays. I also found it to be quite interesting how a small promoter based in Atlanta (Masquerade), generated much higher markups than any of its competitors. Events self-promoted by the venue also commanded higher markups than events from big names like Live Nation and House of Blues. There also doesn't seem to be an obvious connection between the state in which the venue is located, and overall markup. New York and Nevada have the most events, but are on opposite ends of the spectrum, while Louisiana and Georgia command higher markups than places with high cost of living such as California.

2. Continuous Variables

Variables Analyzed:

  1. Ticketmaster Minimum Price
  2. Spotify Popularity
  3. Spotify Followers
  4. Quantity of Tickets Listed
  5. Length of Presale (Days)
  6. Number of Days on sale
  7. Days until Show
  8. Artist count per event

Tests Used

Because markups followed a logarithmic distribution, both Spearman and Pearson correlations were calculated.

Results

Scatterplots

Scatterplots

Artist Count Summary

Scatterplots

Correlations Table
Column PearsonR PearsonR_pvalue Pearson_NullHypothesis SpearmanR SpearmanR_pvalue Spearman_NullHypothesis
TM_min 0.011576 4.781360e-01 Accept -0.438978 8.478316e-177 Reject
avg_ticket_listings -0.09455 0.000000 Reject -0.19922 0.000000 Reject
spotify_avg_followers 0.04988 0.002227 Reject -0.09213 0.000000 Reject
spotify_avg_popularity 0.04966 0.002328 Reject -0.09179 0.000000 Reject
presale_length -0.07767 0.000002 Reject -0.18001 0.000000 Reject
days_on_sale -0.04559 0.005186 Reject -0.16739 0.000000 Reject
days_until_show -0.07371 0.000006 Reject 0.01310 0.422253 Accept
artist_count 0.01077 0.509459 Accept 0.01036 0.525406 Accept

Spearman R values are generally higher than their Pearson R counterparts. TM minimum price, Artist Count and potentially Days Until Show are not correlated to price markups and may not be relevant features.

3. Categorical Variables

Variables Analyzed:

  1. Genre
  2. Subgenre
  3. Day of Week
  4. Promoter
  5. Ticket Source
  6. Venue State

Tests Used

T tests were used to compare the markups of each feature category to the whole dataset's markup mean. Then an ANOVA F-test was used to determine if the means of categorical features were significantly different. After confirming a statistically significant difference in markup means amongst categories, a Paired Tukey test was used to compare every unique pair of categories. Because categories had unequal sample sizes and unequal variances, the ANOVA F-Test and subsequent Paired Tukey test may not be the most ideal choices. However, they were used for the sake of simplicity since the final product of this project is not a pairwise analysis of categories.

Results

The results corroborated the conclusions drawn from the initial graphic data exploration.

3.1 Genre

Genre Summary

T-Test

The Dance/Electronic, Jazz, Pop, R&B, Religous, Rock, Undefined, and World genres had markups significantly different from the mean.

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

Pop & Country, Pop & Rock, Rock & Undefined, Rock & World pairs had significantly different means.

3.2 Subgenre

Subgenre Summary

T-Test

Adult Contemporary, Club Dance, Gospel, Jazz, Latin, Pop, R&B, Undefined, and World subgenres had significantly different markups from the overall mean.

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

The Latin & Pop and Pop & Soul pairs had significantly different markups.

3.3 Day of Week

Day of Week Summary

T-Test

Markups for events on Sunday and Monday were significantly below the mean markup.

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

No statistically significant difference was found for markups between days of the week.

3.4 Promoter

Promoter Summary

T-Test

Most promoter categories have statistically significant differences from the overall mean. The null hypothesis is rejected for AEG Live, Crossroad Presents, Live Nation, and 'Other' for having markups significantly below the mean, and Masquerade, and 'Promoted by Venue' having markups significantly greater than the mean.

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

Events by Masquerade had markups significantly higher than all other promoters

3.5 Ticket Source

Day of Week Summary

T-Test

Events with tickets only on Stubhub have significantly higher markups than those of the dataset. Events with tickets on both Stubhub and SeatGeek have significantly lower markups.

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

Differences are statistically significant for tickets on both platforms vs. Stubhub, and SeatGeek vs. Stubhub.

3.6 Venue State

Day of Week Summary

T-Test

CA, FL, IL, KY, MA, MI, NC, NV, OH, PA, TX, and VA have markups significantly lower than the mean. GA, LA, and NY have markups significantly higher than the mean

ANOVA/Paired Tukey

CA & NY, FL & NY, GA & NV, IL & OH, IN & NY, KY & NY MA & NY, ME & NY, MI & NY, MO & NV, NC & NY, NJ & NY, NV & NY, NY & OH, NY & PA, NY & TX, NY & VA have statistically different means. New York has significantly higher markups than most other states, while Nevada has significantly lower markups than most states.