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notes.txt
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notes.txt
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[TODO: elaborate and explain that `reporter_2` at least _comes closer_ than reporter_1; the output still varies with reality; it's just distorted; whereas the liar was constant]
"Maybe Lying ..."
Three Algorithms of Deception
'My basic read of Zack's entire post was him saying over and over "Well there might be really bad instrumental effects of these arguments, but you have to ignore that if their epistemics are good." And my immediate reaction to that was "No I don't, and that's a bad norm."'
x₁
(I originally imagined this with normal distributions with different means, but choosing a discrete distribution makes explicit calculations easier, and it doesn't matter for the point I'm trying to make.)
ask mods whether it's possible to upload to images.lesswrong.com
[TODO: use "typical set" reasoning to show that these are distinct clusters
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asymptotic_equipartition_property
http://zackmdavis.net/blog/2019/05/the-typical-set/
]
[Leaky Generalizations](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/Tc2H9KbKRjuDJ3WSS/leaky-generalizations)
Make sure to mention that clustering is hard—
http://alexhwilliams.info/itsneuronalblog/2015/09/11/clustering1/
http://alexhwilliams.info/itsneuronalblog/2015/10/01/clustering2/
Goodhart's Law: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EbFABnst8LsidYs5Y/goodhart-taxonomy regressional Goodhart
the intelligence, wisdom, maturity, civic-mindedness, perhaps motor skills (to fill in the ballot), _&c._ needed to exercise the franchise responsibly.
[important for game-theoretic reasons](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/tJQsxD34maYw2g5E4/thomas-c-schelling-s-strategy-of-conflict#yqGXfQpsDuEGeL69a)
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_Author's Note on Contextualizing and the Development of Ideas_
[TODO: maybe a separate post???]
MacIver's book rec: https://twitter.com/DRMacIver/status/1139839288202297345
Imgur post: https://imgur.com/a/yjzfM9H
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Consider again the parable about the Sorter of bleggs and rubes who is at first overjoyed to be promoted to "Vice President of Sorting", only to be dismayed to learn that the change in title doesn't come with any material change in responsibilities or working conditions.
Is the new title a _lie_? I think many people would be inclined to say _No_, on the grounds that they expect
[This](http://benjaminrosshoffman.com/excerpts-from-a-larger-discussion-about-simulacra/) may constitute a "security vulnerability" in [codes of ethics](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/xdwbX9pFEr7Pomaxv/meta-honesty-firming-up-honesty-around-its-edge-cases) that have an [ethical injunction](https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/dWTEtgBfFaz6vjwQf/ethical-injunctions) against lying.
blue green
urban rural
indidividual taxes merchant tax
strict marriage easy divorce
Earth-centered heliocenteric
An [evolutionary psychologist](TODO: linky) studying pair bonding may aspire to objectivity, but if she finds that
The Blues believe the Earth is a sphere at the center of the universe; the Greens believe the Earth is a plane that revolves around a sun.
https://slatestarcodex.com/2017/03/24/guided-by-the-beauty-of-our-weapons/
https://slatestarcodex.com/2013/12/29/the-spirit-of-the-first-amendment/
I'm usually an "Inside View" kind of guy, but _principles_ are an Outside View thing!
contrast—
https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1170022426891018240
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/k5qPoHFgjyxtvYsm7/stop-voting-for-nincompoops
if one side has all the brains
https://www.lesswrong.com/rationality/how-much-evidence-does-it-take
"Tails Risk"
the meta-hill is a Schelling point for dying on
What makes paying rent to the coalition bad, but having an obsessive special interest OK?