Estimating Policy Trajectories During the Financial Crisis: Full Paper
2014 Unshared Task in PoliInformatics
Abstract:
We apply text-matching techniques to trace the trajectory of policy ideas contained in four bills related to the Financial Crisis during the 110th (2007-08) and 111th (2009-10) Congresses. By identifying the first appearance of bill text, visualizing the results, and constructing metrics to quantify the congressional “consideration time” of a bill’s ideas, our analysis reveals that two of the four bills were dominated by ideas that were first in-troduced many months before their eventual passage, while the other two bills contained mostly new text and were truly novel responses to the Crisis. In addition, we also apply the method to find policy ideas related to the Financial Crisis that were not included in successful bills. We suggest possible applications by both researchers and open-government advocates.
Here is a sample plot of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, which contained the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP).
The text reuse and visualization technique is largely adopted from "Tracing the Flow of Policy Ideas in Legislatures: A Text Reuse Approach" by John Wilkerson, David Smith, and Nick Stramp.