A typical streamflow reconstruction model is linear: the relationship between streamflow y and the paleoclimate proxies u is modelled as
Linear models do not account for the catchment state and the catchment memory effect. To tackle this, we experiment with using the Linear Dynamical System (LDS) model. The relationship between streamflow and paleoclimate proxies is characterized as follows:
We described the method in full detail, together with a case study for the Ping River (Thailand), in Nguyen and Galelli (2018)---please cite this paper when you use the package. We also used the method to reconstruct streamflow for 48 stations in 16 countries in Asia (Nguyen et al, 2019).
For a tutorial on how to use the package, please see the package's vignette.
ldsr is now available on CRAN, so you can install with
Now to install the development version
Nguyen, H. T. T., & Galelli, S. (2018). A linear dynamical systems approach to streamflow reconstruction reveals history of regime shifts in northern Thailand. Water Resources Research, 54, 2057– 2077. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR022114
Nguyen, H. T. T., Turner, S. W., Buckley, B. M., & Galelli, S. (2019). Coherent streamflow variability in Monsoon Asia over the past eight centuries---links to oceanic drivers. https://doi.org/10.31223/osf.io/5tg68