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Studying Activision Blizzard's credit risk and forecasting financials

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Activision Blizzard Analysis, Forecast, and Credit Risk

Analysis

Competitor Comparison

Interactive Plotly Plot Rev_plotly

Forecasting

Model Selection

I wanted to use a Convolutional Neural Network to predict 5 years out of sample and compare the results to a random forest regressor and analyst estimates. The random forest model would predict one year into the future, using a one year lag in the data's explanatory variables.

Results

The random forest regressor predicted 2021 revenue of $5202.
The CNN model predicted revenue of $7518.
The analysts predict around $8320.
*all figures are in millions

CNN

Credit Risk

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