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This project contains the models developed in: Dolanyi, M., Bruninx, K., Delarue, E. 2020. Exposing the Variety of Equilibria in Oligopolistic Electricity Markets. KU Leuven Working Paper

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Exposing the Variety of Nash-Equilibria in Oligopolistic Electricity Market

Abstract

Liberalized electricity markets promise a cost-efficient operation and expansion of power systems but may as well introduce opportunities for strategic gaming for price-making agents. Given the rapid transition of today’s energy systems, unconventional generation and consumption patterns are emerging, presenting new challenges for regulators and policymakers to prevent such behaviors. The strategic offering of various price-making agents in oligopolistic electricity markets resembles a multi-leader-common-follower game. The decision problem of each agent can be modeled as a bi-level optimization problem, consisting of the strategic agent’s decision problem in the upper-level, and the market clearing problem in the lower-level. When modeling a multi-leader game, i.e., a set of bi-level optimization problems, the resulting equilibrium problem with equilibrium constraints poses several challenges. Real-life applicability or policy-oriented studies are challenged by the potential multiplicity of equilibria and the difficulty of exhaustively exploring this range of equilbria. In this paper, the range of equilibria is explored by using a novel simultaneous solution method. The proposed solution technique relies on applying Scholtes’ regularization before concatenating the strategic actor’s decision problems’ optimality conditions. Hence, the attained solutions are stationary points with high confidence. In a stylized example, different strategic agents, including an energy storage system, are modeled to capture the asymmetric opportunities they may face when exercising market power. Our analysis reveals that these models’ outcomes may span a broad range, impacting the derived economic metrics significantly This code is published as a companion material of the above named research, which is currently submitted to Computers and Operation Research and can be found on: https://www.mech.kuleuven.be/en/tme/research/energy-systems-integration-modeling/pdf-publications/wp-esim2020-02

Section 4.3. Convergence analysis in case of a single strategic agent

The MILP_quantity.jl, MPPDC_quantity.jl, NLP_dual_MPPDC_quantity.jl files were used in this Section. All models can represent a single strategic actor (ESS,CG,RG) participating on the LL market, as explained in Section 4 of the working paper. An example usage of all three models is shown by test_script_singleagent.jl.

Section 4.4. Numerical results of the stylized EPEC setting and 4.5. Analyzing the impact of changes in the strategic agents’ capacity

EPEC_quantitity.jl and diagonalization.jl files were used. An example usage of the EPEC model by changing the central planner's objective is shown by test_script_multiagent.jl

License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License

Keywords

OR in energy, Multi-leader-common-follower games, Electricity Market, Equilibrium Problem with Equilibrium Constraints, Oligopoly

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This project contains the models developed in: Dolanyi, M., Bruninx, K., Delarue, E. 2020. Exposing the Variety of Equilibria in Oligopolistic Electricity Markets. KU Leuven Working Paper

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