This is an outreach talk titled: From greenhouse effect to the Paris Agreement: Exploring Manabe’s Nobel-winning-work in predicting global warming.
Abstract: We will take a tour through a hierarchy of climate models ranging from simplistic conceptual models of the greenhouse effect to complex computer simulations currently used for the IPCC reports, all predicting global warming is real and quantifiable. Our tour of history will also make clear the important contribution of Suki Manabe in the prediction of global warming, which won him the Nobel prize in 2021.
This talk was prepared for an outreach event for high school students at NYU Courant named cSplash, happed on Earth Day on April 22, 2023. We thank the NYU Mathematics Society for organizing this event and for the oppotunitiy to speak. We practiced this talk in the Communication in the mathematical sciences class taught by Aleks Donev. We thank him and the students in the class for being my test audience and providing valuable feedback. Professor Olivier Pauluis and Cai Maitland-Davies also gave helpful suggestions.