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Solution to the European Healthcare Hackathon 2023 Challenge 6 - Estimating Risk of CKD in Patients

by team Zdravíme

Outcomes

Solution overview

Based on the medical records, we can give a doctor the risk of a particular patient being in the A2 and A3 CKD risk categories. Because the albuminuria is not standardly tested, we can recommend such action to the doctor when actually needed!

image

Structure of the repository:

  • data/ - placeholder
  • src/ - our solution
  • presentation/ - some outcomes of our work

Used technologies:

  • we developed our solutions in Python Jupyter notebooks and Julia.
  • from analytical tools, we relied mostly on statsmodels library and our wit; we also tested causal inference tools and advanced ideas like sum-product-networks for sum-clever-analysis.

Technical detail:

Our final solution builds on a two-level approach. First, by estimating the availability of ACR testing results based on other covariates, we understand the sampling bias of the data. Then, we can properly learn a model predicting the ACR levels for a particular patient and adjusting by inverse probability weighting for the sampling bias. Given the estimated ACR levels and their uncertainty, we give the doctor a percentual risk of the patient being above the defined thresholds of the A2 and A3 CKD-albuminuria-based category.

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