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add White's test (heteroskedasticity)
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## Diebold-Mariano test | ||
```@docs | ||
DieboldMarianoTest | ||
``` | ||
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## White test | ||
```@docs | ||
WhiteTest | ||
``` |
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# white.jl | ||
# White and Breusch-Pagan tests for heteroskedasticity | ||
# | ||
# Copyright (C) 2020 Paul Söderlind | ||
# | ||
# Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining | ||
# a copy of this software and associated documentation files (the | ||
# "Software"), to deal in the Software without restriction, including | ||
# without limitation the rights to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, | ||
# distribute, sublicense, and/or sell copies of the Software, and to | ||
# permit persons to whom the Software is furnished to do so, subject to | ||
# the following conditions: | ||
# | ||
# The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be | ||
# included in all copies or substantial portions of the Software. | ||
# | ||
# THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, | ||
# EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF | ||
# MERCHANTABILITY, FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND | ||
# NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE | ||
# LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION | ||
# OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM, OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION | ||
# WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE SOFTWARE. | ||
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export WhiteTest | ||
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struct WhiteTest <: HypothesisTest | ||
dof::Int #degrees of freedom in test | ||
LM::Float64 #test statistic, distributed as Chisq(dof) | ||
end | ||
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""" | ||
WhiteTest(X, e, TestType) | ||
Compute White's (or Breusch-Pagan's) test for heteroskedasticity. | ||
`X` is the matrix of regressors from the original model and `e` the vector of residuals. | ||
`TestType` is either `:Linear` for the Breusch-Pagan test, `:LinearAndSquares` for | ||
White's test with linear and squared terms only (no cross-products), or `:White` (the default) | ||
for the full White's test (linear, squared and cross-product terms). `X` should include a | ||
constant. The rest statistic is T*R2 where R2 is from the regression of `e^2` on the terms | ||
mentioned above. Under the null hypothesis it is distributed as `Chisquare(dof)` | ||
where `dof` is the number of independent terms (not counting the constant). | ||
Implements: [`pvalue`](@ref) | ||
# References | ||
* H. White, (1980): A heteroskedasticity-consistent covariance matrix estimator and a direct test for heteroskedasticity, Econometrica, 48, 817-838. | ||
* T.S. Breusch & A.R. Pagan (1979), A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation, Econometrica, 47, 1287-1294 | ||
# External links | ||
* [White's test on Wikipedia](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/White_test) | ||
""" | ||
function WhiteTest(X::AbstractVecOrMat{<:Real}, e::AbstractVector{<:Real}, TestType=:White) | ||
(n,K) = (size(X,1),size(X,2)) #nobs,nvars | ||
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n == length(e) || throw(DimensionMismatch("inputs must have the same length")) | ||
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if TestType == :Linear | ||
z = X | ||
elseif TestType == :LinearAndSquares | ||
z = [X X.^2] | ||
else #linear, squares and cross-products | ||
z = fill(NaN,n,round(Int,K*(K+1)/2)) #loop is easier and quicker than index tricks | ||
vv = 1 | ||
for i = 1:K, j = i:K | ||
z[:,vv] = X[:,i].*X[:,j] #eg. x1*x1, x1*x2, x2*x2 | ||
vv = vv + 1 | ||
end | ||
end | ||
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dof = rank(z) - 1 #number of independent regressors in z | ||
e2 = e.^2 | ||
b = z\e2 | ||
res = e2 - z*b | ||
R2 = 1 - var(res)/var(e2) | ||
LM = n*R2 #n*R2 in original papers, could also use n*R2/(1-R2) | ||
return WhiteTest(dof, LM) | ||
end | ||
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testname(t::WhiteTest) = "White's test for heteroskedasticity" | ||
population_param_of_interest(t::WhiteTest) = ("T*R2", 0, t.LM) | ||
default_tail(test::WhiteTest) = :right | ||
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function show_params(io::IO, t::WhiteTest, ident) | ||
println(io, ident, "T*R^2 statistic: ", t.LM) | ||
println(io, ident, "degrees of freedom: ", dof(t)) | ||
end | ||
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StatsBase.dof(t::WhiteTest) = t.dof | ||
pvalue(t::WhiteTest) = pvalue(Chisq(t.dof), t.LM, tail=:right) | ||
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using HypothesisTests, Test | ||
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@testset "White tests" begin | ||
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X = [ 4.18 0.77 1.00; | ||
-3.41 0.73 1.00; | ||
5.75 0.81 1.00; | ||
0.05 0.80 1.00; | ||
-2.18 0.82 1.00; | ||
3.88 0.81 1.00; | ||
0.73 0.77 1.00; | ||
5.70 0.77 1.00; | ||
-0.69 0.83 1.00; | ||
-8.14 0.87 1.00; | ||
5.37 0.99 1.00; | ||
1.87 0.95 1.00; | ||
5.76 0.80 1.00; | ||
-0.79 0.89 1.00; | ||
-13.23 1.21 1.00; | ||
3.97 1.26 1.00; | ||
5.20 0.81 1.00; | ||
3.16 0.61 1.00; | ||
6.41 0.53 1.00; | ||
1.72 0.64 1.00; | ||
2.20 0.75 1.00; | ||
1.06 0.95 1.00; | ||
9.54 0.96 1.00; | ||
-4.75 1.31 1.00; | ||
-5.05 1.04 1.00; | ||
0.48 1.07 1.00; | ||
3.41 1.21 1.00; | ||
-2.21 1.08 1.00; | ||
0.21 1.15 1.00; | ||
-2.37 1.35 1.00; | ||
-1.55 1.24 1.00; | ||
-6.91 1.28 1.00; | ||
-7.62 1.24 1.00; | ||
4.81 1.21 1.00; | ||
3.51 1.07 1.00; | ||
-3.68 0.87 1.00; | ||
-3.42 0.80 1.00; | ||
-6.03 0.92 1.00; | ||
-1.99 0.98 1.00; | ||
3.20 1.13 1.00; | ||
-3.88 1.06 1.00; | ||
-3.35 0.96 1.00; | ||
-3.10 1.05 1.00; | ||
11.14 0.76 1.00; | ||
1.17 0.51 1.00; | ||
11.27 0.59 1.00; | ||
4.56 0.63 1.00; | ||
0.78 0.67 1.00; | ||
3.50 0.69 1.00; | ||
2.40 0.62 1.00; | ||
2.84 0.63 1.00; | ||
6.71 0.71 1.00; | ||
0.63 0.69 1.00; | ||
3.11 0.67 1.00; | ||
-3.90 0.74 1.00; | ||
-0.41 0.76 1.00; | ||
0.85 0.76 1.00; | ||
-3.56 0.76 1.00; | ||
2.26 0.70 1.00; | ||
-1.78 0.73 1.00; | ||
-2.06 0.76 1.00; | ||
-4.62 0.71 1.00; | ||
0.61 0.73 1.00; | ||
-0.56 0.81 1.00; | ||
-6.01 0.78 1.00; | ||
1.59 0.75 1.00; | ||
-2.88 0.82 1.00; | ||
10.44 0.83 1.00; | ||
-0.82 0.86 1.00; | ||
-1.01 1.00 1.00; | ||
-1.80 0.73 1.00; | ||
1.73 0.64 1.00; | ||
7.92 0.65 1.00; | ||
1.11 0.58 1.00; | ||
-0.79 0.62 1.00; | ||
-0.94 0.72 1.00; | ||
4.92 0.66 1.00; | ||
1.16 0.55 1.00; | ||
-0.65 0.62 1.00; | ||
-1.03 0.55 1.00; | ||
-4.58 0.60 1.00; | ||
3.79 0.65 1.00; | ||
6.31 0.61 1.00; | ||
3.66 0.65 1.00; | ||
0.42 0.56 1.00; | ||
6.72 0.53 1.00; | ||
4.79 0.60 1.00; | ||
-1.31 0.52 1.00; | ||
4.59 0.49 1.00; | ||
0.90 0.52 1.00; | ||
-6.49 0.52 1.00; | ||
6.16 0.46 1.00; | ||
-8.35 0.45 1.00; | ||
4.47 0.46 1.00; | ||
1.12 0.39 1.00; | ||
-3.13 0.49 1.00; | ||
12.43 0.42 1.00; | ||
4.36 0.43 1.00; | ||
1.90 0.47 1.00; | ||
-2.14 0.44 1.00 ] | ||
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e = [ 5.19346; | ||
2.22296; | ||
3.82622; | ||
2.93541; | ||
0.70453; | ||
1.98955; | ||
0.56655; | ||
1.54306; | ||
0.57363; | ||
-0.13346; | ||
1.68565; | ||
9.24558; | ||
7.39317; | ||
2.45484; | ||
-4.83724; | ||
-0.74742; | ||
-0.22633; | ||
0.51537; | ||
2.82822; | ||
9.35943; | ||
5.38263; | ||
6.59691; | ||
1.79080; | ||
0.54506; | ||
4.06661; | ||
-4.18808; | ||
1.69414; | ||
5.40963; | ||
2.92762; | ||
-2.67351; | ||
-2.74613; | ||
-3.52752; | ||
-4.27775; | ||
2.88245; | ||
-8.12566; | ||
0.08760; | ||
2.20495; | ||
-0.45509; | ||
-0.06959; | ||
1.51330; | ||
1.37878; | ||
-2.33046; | ||
0.35730; | ||
-11.41189; | ||
-0.48083; | ||
1.08917; | ||
2.52333; | ||
1.73218; | ||
15.60426; | ||
-0.15961; | ||
-0.22174; | ||
-1.19174; | ||
13.92022; | ||
1.16044; | ||
0.08087; | ||
-5.81547; | ||
-5.14199; | ||
-5.69918; | ||
-0.36585; | ||
-3.70294; | ||
2.83687; | ||
-1.37631; | ||
-2.55403; | ||
-4.10796; | ||
1.32092; | ||
-1.64056; | ||
-4.09963; | ||
-4.85728; | ||
-1.45496; | ||
-3.12612; | ||
-4.36648; | ||
-3.23379; | ||
5.22893; | ||
5.06730; | ||
-0.63041; | ||
-1.70377; | ||
-5.71335; | ||
-2.76831; | ||
2.20443; | ||
-0.10174; | ||
-2.36727; | ||
-5.49859; | ||
-4.78093; | ||
-3.36665; | ||
5.12027; | ||
-3.03180; | ||
-2.52035; | ||
3.10913; | ||
-3.51388; | ||
-0.70389; | ||
-1.01963; | ||
-8.78989; | ||
2.95170; | ||
-3.95464; | ||
-4.01258; | ||
-1.92315; | ||
-4.94209; | ||
5.29138; | ||
1.28435; | ||
0.28832 ] | ||
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atol = 1e-4 | ||
w_test = WhiteTest(X, e, :Linear) | ||
@test pvalue(w_test) ≈ 0.1287 atol=atol | ||
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w_test = WhiteTest(X, e, :LinearAndSquares) | ||
@test pvalue(w_test) ≈ 0.2774 atol=atol | ||
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w_test = WhiteTest(X, e) | ||
@test pvalue(w_test) ≈ 0.3458 atol=atol | ||
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show(IOBuffer(), w_test) | ||
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@test_throws DimensionMismatch WhiteTest(rand(3), rand(4)) | ||
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end |