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Investigation into how Donald Trump could win the 2016 US presidential election

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2016 Election Prediction Project Description

Christopher Oh 2018-08-29

Motivation

The result of the 2016 US presidential election came as a surprise to many, but perhaps not to Ford Fessenden, who published a piece title Donald Trump’s Big Bet on Less Educated Whites a day before the election day.

Fascinated by his keen insight, I decided to retrace the steps the author took that led to his conclusion.

Goal

To reproduce the map depitcting the estimated laregest voting-age population demographics in each county that later revealed to closely resemble the election result.

Achieved by leveraging the latest tidyverse packages for advanced data wrangling and the sf package for spatial visualization.

Thank you

I would like to thank Bill Behrman, the director of Stanford Data Lab, for providing me with an inspiration and close guidance throughout the duration of the project.

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Investigation into how Donald Trump could win the 2016 US presidential election

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