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Do "mega leaks" about corruption, money laundering and tax evasion change public opinion?

Events:

  • Offshore Leaks: April 2013
  • Luxembourg Leaks: 5 November 2014
  • Swiss Leaks: February 2015
  • Panama Papers: 3 April 2016
  • Paradise Papers: 5 November 2017
  • FinCEN Papers: 15 August 2020

Design:

  • Surveys where fieldwork spans the date of the leak
  • Google Trend results of searches for relevant terms
  • Mentions of relevant terms in newspapers (LexisNexis API) and political speeches (Hansard, Congressional Record) [to do]

Results:

  • Mixed... (nb positive numbers for estimated treatment effects mean less trust & more right wing)
  • Is it surprising that these events didn't have an impact on public opinion?

Graphs of results from preliminary analysis

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Do financial #MegaLeaks shift public opinion?

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