Analysis and country comparisons for the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus

Table of contents

• An overview of many countries and a description of my methodology.
• The analogous study for Germany and its federal states in German language.
• The analogous study for Baden-Württemberg and its districts in German language.
• A comparison of how well countries are controlling the spread of the pandemic using innovative visualisation.

Data

I use the time series data provided by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering at the Johns Hopkins University. It has got daily sampling frequency and it is presented in tabular format.

Remember that the true number of cases is probably multiple times higher than the number of confirmed cases. For an extreme example, on the 27th March, Scotland’s Chief Medical Officer Catherine Calderwood estimated that more than 65,000 people in Scotland had the virus when confirmed cases stood at 1059.

Program files

I release the Python 3 software that I write to conduct my analyses under the MIT license for anybody to download.

Requirements

The following Python 3 packages are required. The version numbers are what I have got installed but they are not strict requirements. beautifulsoup4 is used to parse Wikipedia tables for Germany (Deutschland.md).

python3==3.7.6
matplotlib==3.0.3
numpy==1.16.4
pandas==0.25.3
scikit-learn==0.21.3
beautifulsoup4==4.8.2

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I work as a data science freelancer. You can contact me with your project proposal.