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SKOG, the SalishSeaCast carbonate chemistry model.
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douglatornell committed Oct 11, 2022
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https://doi.org/10.5194/os-2021-66
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<h2>SKOG, the carbonate chemistry component of SalishSeaCast</h2>
<p>
The three-dimensional carbonate chemistry model was developed and used to determine
the anthropogenic increase in Salish Sea coastal carbon content in:
</p>
<p>
Jarníková T., Ianson D., Allen S.E., Shao A.E., Olson E.M.. 2022.
Anthropogenic carbon increase has caused critical shifts in aragonite saturation
across a sensitive coastal system.
<em>Global Biogeochemical Cycles</em>, 36(7).
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<a href="https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007024">
https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007024
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<h3>
Jarníková, <em>et al</em>, 2021.
A clustering approach to determine biophysical provinces and physical drivers of
productivity dynamics in a complex coastal sea.
productivity dynamics in a complex coastal sea
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composition. It also demonstrates a simple, powerful technique for finding
structure in large datasets and determining boundaries of biophysical provinces.",
doi = "10.5194/os-2021-66",
}
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<h3>
Jarníková, <em>et al</em>, 2022.
Anthropogenic Carbon Increase has Caused Critical Shifts in Aragonite Saturation
Across a Sensitive Coastal System
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@article{Jarnikova-etal-2022,
author = "Jarníková T., Ianson D., Allen S.E., Shao A.E., Olson E.M.",
title = "Anthropogenic Carbon Increase has Caused Critical Shifts in
Aragonite Saturation Across a Sensitive Coastal System",
journal = "Global Biogeochemical Cycles",
year = "2022",
volume = "36",
number = "7",
url = "https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GB007024",
keywords = "coastal ocean acidification, carbon cycle, ocean acidification,
sub-mesoscale ocean model, anthropogenic carbon, aragonite saturation",
abstract = "Estuarine systems host a rich diversity of marine life that is
vulnerable to changes in ocean chemistry due to addition of anthropogenic carbon.
However, the detection and impact of secular carbon trends in these systems is
complicated by heightened natural variability as compared to open-ocean regimes.
We investigate biogeochemical changes between the pre-industrial (PI) and modern
periods using a high-resolution, three-dimensional, biophysical model of the
Salish Sea, a representative Northeast Pacific coastal system. While the seasonal
amplitude of the air-sea difference in pCO2 has increased on average since
pre-industrial times, the net CO2 source has changed little. Our simulations show
that inorganic carbon has increased throughout the model domain by 29–39 mmol m−3
(28–38 µmol kg−1) from the pre-industrial to present. While this increase is modest
in a global context, the region's naturally high inorganic carbon content and the
low buffering capacity of the local carbonate system amplify the resultant effects.
Notably, this increased carbon drives the estuary toward system-wide undersaturation
of aragonite, negatively impacting shell-forming organisms. Undersaturation events
were rare during the pre-industrial experiment, with 10%–25% of the domain
undersaturated by volume throughout the year, while under present-day conditions,
the majority (55%–75%) of the system experiences corrosive, undersaturated conditions
year-round. These results are extended using recent global coastal observations to
show that estuaries throughout the Pacific Rim have already undergone a similar
saturation state regime shift.",
doi = "10.1029/2021GB007024",
}
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