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CryptoPredictions

CryptoPredictions is an open-source toolbox for price prediction/forecasting a sequence of prices of cryptocurrencies given an observed sequence.

Prediction

Overview

The main parts of the library are as follows:

Price-Predictors
├── train.py                            -- script to train the models, runs factory.trainer.py
├── backtester.py                       -- script to calculate the profit by selecting a strategy to buy and sell based on the prediction
├── models                    
│   ├── orbit.py
|   ├── prophet.py
|   ├── LSTM.py
│   ├── sarimax.py
|   ├── random_forest.py
|   ├── xgboost.py
|   ├── ...
├── data_loader
|   ├── CoinMarketDataset.py        
|   ├── Bitmex.py        
|   ├── ...

Getting Started

To get started as quickly as possible, follow the instructions in this section. This should allow you train a model from scratch, evaluate your pretrained models, and produce basic visualizations.

Dependencies

Make sure you have the following dependencies installed before proceeding:

  • Python 3.7+ distribution
  • pip >= 21.3.1

Virtualenv

You can create and activate virtual environment like below:

pip install --upgrade virtualenv

virtualenv -p python3.7 <venvname>  

source <venvname>/bin/activate  

pip install --upgrade pip

Requirements

Furthermore, you just have to install all the packages you need:

pip install -r requirements.txt  

Before moving forward, you need to install Hydra and know its basic functions to run different modules and APIs.
hydra is A framework for elegantly configuring complex applications with hierarchical structure. For more information about Hydra, read their official page documentation.

Hydra

In order to have a better structure and understanding of our arguments, we use Hydra to dynamically create a hierarchical configuration by composition and override it through config files and the command line. If you have any issues and errors install hydra like below:

pip install hydra-core --upgrade

Dataset

You can use more than 15 cryptocurrencies data by giving the symbol of the selected cryptocurrency to the config files. Moreover, the csv files of these cryptocurrencies could be found in ./data .

Name Symbol Name Symbol Name Symbol
Bitcoin XBTUSD Ethereum ETHUSD BNB BNBUSD
Cardano ADAUSD Dogecoin DOGEUSD Solana SOLUSD
Polkadot DOTUSD Litecoin LTCUSD TRON TRXUSD
Avalanche AVAXUSD Chainlink LINKUSD Aptos APTUSD
Bitcoin Cash BCHUSD NEAR Protocol NEARUSD ApeCoin APEUSD
Cronos CROUSD Axie Infinity AXSUSD EOS EOSUSD

Indicators

In order to have a richer dataset, library provides you with more than 30 indicators. You could select the indicators you want to have in your dataset and the library will calculate them and add them to the dataset.

The list of of available indicators supported by the library is as follow:

Name Symbol Name Symbol Name Symbol
Simple Moving Average sma Weighted Moving Average wma Cumulative Moving Average cma
Exponential Moving Average ema Double Exponential Moving Average dema Triple Exponential Moving Average trix
Moving Average Convergence Divergence macd Stochastic stoch KDJ kdj
William %R wpr Relative Strengh Index rsi Stochastic Relative Strengh Index srsi
Chande Momentum Oscillator cmo Bollinger Bands bollinger Keltner Channel kc
Donchian Channel dc Heiken Ashi heiken Ichimoku ichi
Volume Profile vp True Range tr Average True Range atr
Average Directionnal Index adx On Balance Volume obv Momentum mmt
Rate Of Change roc Aroon aroon Chaikin Money Flow cmf
Volatility Index vix Chopiness Index chop Center Of Gravity cog

Metrics

The essential step in any machine learning model is to evaluate the accuracy of the model. The list of of available metrics supported by the library is as follow:

  • accuracy_score: Number of correct predictions/Total number of predictions
  • precision_score: the proportion of positively predicted labels that are actually correct
  • recall_score: the model's ability to correctly predict the positives out of actual positives
  • f1_score: 2.Precision.Recall/(Precision+Recall)
  • MAE: Mean Absolute Error
  • MAPE: Mean Absolute Percentage Error
  • MASE: Mean Absolute Scaled Error
  • RMSE: Root Mean Square Error
  • SMAPE: Symmetric Mean Absolute Percentage Error
  • Stochastic: the possibility that the outcome is not that expected, given that both the model and parameters are correct

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