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ML on COVID-19 - presentation at MLDS Conference - https://analyticsindiamag.com/using-ml-model-to-fight-covid-19-a-case-study/. Jupyter notebooks using models like SEIR to predict COVID-19 spread

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baladutt/modeling-epidemics-COVID-19

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Demystifying modelling of epidemics like COVID-19, demonstrated with Jupyter notebooks

COVID-19 has triggered creation of this repository. This repository would contain notebooks that analyze epidemic from different viewpoints. This is open for contribution and to build upon ideas.

Warning : I'm not an epidemiologist, infectious disease expert and would have made errors. Please do let me know of errors if you find. These are right now of "play" quality. Also, i have heavily borrowed ideas.

These terms have now gotten into our vocabulary,

  • Flatten the Curve
  • Lockdown
  • Social Distancing
  • Quarantine (self, medical, apartment)
  • Aggressive Test strategy

For Math lovers,

  • R0
  • BRN
  • SEIR
  • Exponential

These notebooks will help you understand the impact better.

Contents

Jupyter notebooks are self-documenting.

Basic Reproduction Number

notebook

SEIR model

notebook

If you can't see images, use this pdf

Visualizing and analyzing current situation

notebook

If you can't see images, use this pdf

What's coming?

Compute probability of having disease based on interview

Compute probability of responding to treatment based on interview

Links

About

Email me: bala.dutt@gmail.com

Thanks to wonderful teachers of Data Science and Engineering, Computer Science Department, BITS Pilani, especially,

  • Prof Shan - S. Balasubramaniam
  • Prof Anita - Anita Ramachandran

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ML on COVID-19 - presentation at MLDS Conference - https://analyticsindiamag.com/using-ml-model-to-fight-covid-19-a-case-study/. Jupyter notebooks using models like SEIR to predict COVID-19 spread

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