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Bob Kopp
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May 21, 2019
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% Last updated by Robert Kopp, robert-dot-kopp-at-rutgers-dot-edu, 2019-05-20 21:23:55 -0400 | ||
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selectedSite = 12; | ||
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corefiles = {'SLRProjections170113GRIDDEDcore.mat', 'SLRProjections170113GRIDDEDcore-DP16-Pl5_15-BC.mat', 'SLRProjections190301core_SEJ.mat'}; % specify corefiles to use | ||
corefilelabs = {'K14', 'DP16', 'B19H'}; % specify corefile labels | ||
subcore = {'', '', 'corefileH'}; % specify if corefile file contains multiple cores | ||
selscens = [1 1 1]; | ||
linespecs = {'-', '--', '-.', ':'}; | ||
colorspecs = [217 95 2] / 255; | ||
truncatesamplesat = 3.0; % m at which to truncate samples | ||
truncatesamplesyear = 2100; % year to use for truncation | ||
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rootdir = '~/Dropbox/Code/LocalizeSL'; | ||
addpath(fullfile(rootdir, 'MFILES')); | ||
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extremesIFILES = fullfile(rootdir, 'IFILES/extremes'); | ||
datDir = fullfile(extremesIFILES, 'declustered'); | ||
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% import table of calibration parameters | ||
parmdat = importdata(fullfile(extremesIFILES, 'GPDfits_withunc.tsv'), '\t', 1); | ||
extracols = size(parmdat.textdata, 2) - size(parmdat.data, 2); | ||
lambdas = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('lambda', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
thresholds = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('u', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
scales = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('scale', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols);; | ||
shapes = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('shape', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
AEP10pts = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('AEP0.1', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
Vscale = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('Vscale', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
Vshape = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('Vshape', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
Vscaleshape = parmdat.data(:, find(strcmpi('Vscaleshape', parmdat.textdata(1, :))) - extracols); | ||
psmslids = parmdat.data(:, 1); | ||
tgids = parmdat.data(:, 2); | ||
NOAAnames = parmdat.textdata(2:end, 1); | ||
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qqq = find(psmslids == selectedSite); | ||
wfile = fullfile(datDir, ['maxtofit.dclist.' num2str(tgids(qqq)) '_xdat.dc.tsv']); | ||
historicaldata = importdata(wfile); | ||
longname = NOAAnames{qqq}; | ||
shortname = longname(setdiff(1:length(longname), strfind(longname, ' '))); | ||
shortname(strfind(shortname, ',')) = '-'; | ||
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clear targyears effcurve; | ||
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for ccc = 1:length(corefiles) | ||
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corefile = load(fullfile(rootdir, ['IFILES/' corefiles{ccc}])); | ||
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if length(subcore{ccc}) > 0 | ||
corefile = corefile.(subcore{ccc}); | ||
end | ||
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ccclab = corefilelabs{ccc}; | ||
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% find instantaneous allowances with specified GPD fits | ||
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[sampslocrise, ~, siteids, sitenames, targyears{ccc}, scens, cols] = LocalizeStoredProjections(selectedSite, corefile, selscens(ccc)); | ||
legstr{ccc} = [ccclab '-' scens{1}]; | ||
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samps = [zeros(size(sampslocrise{1}, 1), 1) sampslocrise{1, 1}] / 1000; % add base year and convert to meters | ||
targyears{ccc} = [2000 targyears{ccc}]; | ||
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% truncate samples | ||
[s, si] = sort(samps(:, find(targyears{ccc} == truncatesamplesyear))); | ||
[mi] = find(s > truncatesamplesat); | ||
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if length(mi) > 0 | ||
subsi = (length(si) - mi(1)):mi(1); | ||
samps = samps(si(subsi), :); | ||
end | ||
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acov = [Vscale(qqq) Vscaleshape(qqq); Vscaleshape(qqq) Vshape(qqq)]; | ||
parmsamps = lhsnorm([scales(qqq) shapes(qqq)], acov, 1000); | ||
parmsamps(:, 1) = max(eps, parmsamps(:, 1)); | ||
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clf; | ||
clear pm; | ||
pm.showuncertainty = 1; pm.historicaldata = historicaldata; | ||
[effcurve{ccc}, testz, histcurve, histcurvesamps, effcurveESLR, effcurve999, integratecurve] = ... | ||
SLRFloodNexpVsLevelCurves(samps, targyears{ccc}, thresholds(qqq), ... | ||
parmsamps(:, 1), parmsamps(:, 2), lambdas(qqq), longname, pm); | ||
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pdfwrite([shortname '_returncurves_' ccclab]); | ||
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clf; | ||
clear pm; pm.betas = [0 .5 .9 1]; | ||
[Ainst, ALDC, ADLfromstart, ADLfp, ADLLDCfromstart, ADLendyears, z0, hp] = SLRAllowancePlot(samps, targyears{ccc}, effcurve{ccc}, testz, histcurve, effcurve999, integratecurve, longname, pm); | ||
pdfwrite([shortname '_Allowances_' ccclab]); | ||
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[A, ADL, z0] = SLRAllowanceWriteTable([shortname '_Allowances'], targyears{ccc}, effcurve{ccc}, testz, histcurve, effcurve999, integratecurve, [.01 .1 .002], [1 .9 .5 .0], [2100], longname) | ||
end | ||
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historicalcolor = 'c'; | ||
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clear hl; | ||
clf; | ||
subplot(2, 1, 1); | ||
ct = sum(bsxfun(@gt, historicaldata, testz)) / (length(historicaldata) / 365.25); | ||
subct = find(diff(ct) < 0); | ||
subct = intersect(subct, find(testz > thresholds(qqq))); | ||
plot(testz(subct), ct(subct), 's', 'Color', historicalcolor); hold on; | ||
hl(1) = plot(testz, histcurve, 'k'); | ||
plot(testz, quantile(histcurvesamps, [.17 .83], 1), 'color', [.6 .6 .6]); | ||
hold on; | ||
set(gca, 'yscale', 'log'); ylim([.002 10]); | ||
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for ccc = 1:length(corefiles) | ||
subyr = find(targyears{ccc} == 2050); | ||
hl(end + 1) = plot(testz, effcurve{ccc}(subyr, :), 'linestyle', linespecs{ccc}, 'color', colorspecs(1, :)); hold on; | ||
end | ||
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ylabel({'Expected number of', 'annual exceedances'}); | ||
xlabel('Extreme sea level (m)'); | ||
title([longname ' - 2050']); | ||
u = legstr'; | ||
u = {'Historical', u{1:end}}; | ||
hld = legend(hl, u, 'location', 'northeast') | ||
set(hld, 'fontsize', 7) | ||
xlim([0 4.75]); | ||
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subplot(2, 1, 2); | ||
ct = sum(bsxfun(@gt, historicaldata, testz)) / (length(historicaldata) / 365.25); | ||
subct = find(diff(ct) < 0); | ||
subct = intersect(subct, find(testz > thresholds(qqq))); | ||
plot(testz(subct), ct(subct), 's', 'Color', historicalcolor); hold on; | ||
hl(1) = plot(testz, histcurve, 'k'); | ||
plot(testz, quantile(histcurvesamps, [.17 .83], 1), 'color', [.6 .6 .6]); | ||
hold on; | ||
set(gca, 'yscale', 'log'); ylim([.002 10]); | ||
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for ccc = 1:length(corefiles) | ||
subyr = find(targyears{ccc} == 2100); | ||
hl(end + 1) = plot(testz, effcurve{ccc}(subyr, :), 'linestyle', linespecs{ccc}, 'color', colorspecs(1, :)); hold on; | ||
end | ||
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ylabel({'Expected number of', 'annual exceedances'}); | ||
xlabel('Extreme sea level (m)'); | ||
title([longname ' - 2100']); | ||
u = legstr'; | ||
u = {'Historical', u{1:end}}; | ||
hld = legend(hl, u, 'location', 'northeast') | ||
set(hld, 'fontsize', 7) | ||
xlim([0 4.75]); | ||
pdfwrite([shortname '_ESL']); | ||
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fid = fopen([shortname '_ESL.tsv'], 'w'); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3f', testz); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
fprintf(fid, 'historical'); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3g', histcurve); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
fprintf(fid, 'historical - 17th'); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3g', quantile(histcurvesamps, .17)); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
fprintf(fid, 'historical - 83rd'); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3g', quantile(histcurvesamps, .83)); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
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for ccc = 1:length(corefiles) | ||
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doyr = 2050; | ||
subyr = find(targyears{ccc} == doyr); | ||
fprintf(fid, [legstr{ccc} ' - %0.0f'], doyr); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3g', effcurve{ccc}(subyr, :)); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
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doyr = 2100; | ||
subyr = find(targyears{ccc} == doyr); | ||
fprintf(fid, [legstr{ccc} ' - %0.0f'], doyr); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\t%0.3g', effcurve{ccc}(subyr, :)); | ||
fprintf(fid, '\n'); | ||
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end | ||
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fclose(fid); |
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