Skip to content

Commit

Permalink
bullets not boxes
Browse files Browse the repository at this point in the history
  • Loading branch information
stevencarlislewalker committed May 17, 2024
1 parent 9edecc8 commit 9a633bb
Showing 1 changed file with 21 additions and 21 deletions.
42 changes: 21 additions & 21 deletions syllabus.md
Original file line number Diff line number Diff line change
Expand Up @@ -74,23 +74,23 @@ There will not be enough time in the workshop to cover all of `macpan2`, so ther

Participants will learn how to do the following types of tasks required for exploring model simulations.

- [ ] Find candidate simulation models in the `macpan2` [library](#library-models) of starter models.
- [ ] Prepare certain [types of data](#types-of-data) so that they can be compared with `macpan2` simulation output, both visually and numerically.
- [ ] Make [modifications to models](#model-modification-tools) in the library.
- [ ] Compute [epidemiological summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) (e.g., basic reproduction number, $\mathcal{R}_0$).
- [ ] Cast a model as a particular [dynamical model type](#dynamical-model-types) (e.g. discrete-time recursion, ordinary differential equation).
* Find candidate simulation models in the `macpan2` [library](#library-models) of starter models.
* Prepare certain [types of data](#types-of-data) so that they can be compared with `macpan2` simulation output, both visually and numerically.
* Make [modifications to models](#model-modification-tools) in the library.
* Compute [epidemiological summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) (e.g., basic reproduction number, $\mathcal{R}_0$).
* Cast a model as a particular [dynamical model type](#dynamical-model-types) (e.g. discrete-time recursion, ordinary differential equation).


<!-- omit from toc -->
#### Session 2: Parameterization

Participants will learn how to do the following types of tasks required for parameterizing models for making inferences about a particular population and public health problem.

- [ ] Modify the default values of parameters in a model.
- [ ] Express uncertainty in model parameters (e.g., transmission rate) or in [epidemiological summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) (e.g., $\mathcal{R}_0$) with prior distributions.
- [ ] Use [optimization](#optimization) to calibrate parameters (e.g., transmission rate) so that the discrepancy between observed and simulated data is minimized.
- [ ] Parameterize the [initial values of the state variables](#calibrate-initial-state-variables) (e.g. `S`, `I`) so that they can be optimized.
- [ ] Calibrate the functional form of time-variation of parameters using machine learning components embedded within epidemiological models. This is a useful technique when the reasons for parameter time-variation are not well-understood.
* Modify the default values of parameters in a model.
* Express uncertainty in model parameters (e.g., transmission rate) or in [epidemiological summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) (e.g., $\mathcal{R}_0$) with prior distributions.
* Use [optimization](#optimization) to calibrate parameters (e.g., transmission rate) so that the discrepancy between observed and simulated data is minimized.
* Parameterize the [initial values of the state variables](#calibrate-initial-state-variables) (e.g. `S`, `I`) so that they can be optimized.
* Calibrate the functional form of time-variation of parameters using machine learning components embedded within epidemiological models. This is a useful technique when the reasons for parameter time-variation are not well-understood.



Expand All @@ -99,24 +99,24 @@ Participants will learn how to do the following types of tasks required for para

Participants will learn how to make the following types of inferences using realistically parameterized models.

- [ ] Visualize goodness-of-fit.
- [ ] Generate confidence intervals for estimated parameters.
- [ ] Forecast model variables beyond the last data point.
- [ ] Calculate prediction intervals measuring uncertainty about these forecasts.
- [ ] Compare alternative scenarios for counter-factual causal analysis (e.g., how many deaths were saved due to vaccination?).
- [ ] Produce uncertainty estimates for [epidemiological model summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) like $\mathcal{R}_0$.
* Visualize goodness-of-fit.
* Generate confidence intervals for estimated parameters.
* Forecast model variables beyond the last data point.
* Calculate prediction intervals measuring uncertainty about these forecasts.
* Compare alternative scenarios for counter-factual causal analysis (e.g., how many deaths were saved due to vaccination?).
* Produce uncertainty estimates for [epidemiological model summaries](#epidemiological-model-summaries) like $\mathcal{R}_0$.


<!-- omit from toc -->
#### Session 4: Stratification

Participants will learn the following stratification strategies.

- [ ] [Stratify every compartment](#cartesian-product-models) in the same way (e.g. by age, location).
- [ ] [Stratify infectious compartments](#stratify-infectious-compartments) (e.g. by symptom status).
- [ ] Expand a single compartment into a sequential chain, to model different distributions of time spent in that compartment.
- [ ] Combine several single-strain models into a single multi-strain model.
- [ ] Stratify compartments based on immunity status. This is particularly useful in cases where immunity is partial, can wane, and is caused by a mixture of past infection, vaccination, and cross-immunity.
* [Stratify every compartment](#cartesian-product-models) in the same way (e.g. by age, location).
* [Stratify infectious compartments](#stratify-infectious-compartments) (e.g. by symptom status).
* Expand a single compartment into a sequential chain, to model different distributions of time spent in that compartment.
* Combine several single-strain models into a single multi-strain model.
* Stratify compartments based on immunity status. This is particularly useful in cases where immunity is partial, can wane, and is caused by a mixture of past infection, vaccination, and cross-immunity.


## Materials
Expand Down

0 comments on commit 9a633bb

Please sign in to comment.