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XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(293 seqs, 31 countries ) #1820

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aviczhl2 opened this issue Mar 30, 2023 · 28 comments
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XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(293 seqs, 31 countries ) #1820

aviczhl2 opened this issue Mar 30, 2023 · 28 comments
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XBB proposed sublineage of XBB

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@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented Mar 30, 2023

Sub-lineage of: XBB.1.16
Mutations on top of XBB.1.16: A28353T (orf9b:T24S, N:N27I) , C29386T
GISAID query: T28297C, A28353T
No. of seqs: 16(India 16)
First seq: EPI_ISL_17236461 (India) 2023-3-1
Latest seq: EPI_ISL_17326218(India) 2023-3-17
Sequences:
EPI_ISL_17236461, EPI_ISL_17236463, EPI_ISL_17269904,
EPI_ISL_17269908, EPI_ISL_17269927, EPI_ISL_17269939,
EPI_ISL_17269950, EPI_ISL_17269993, EPI_ISL_17270042,
EPI_ISL_17270044, EPI_ISL_17326043, EPI_ISL_17326169,
EPI_ISL_17326190, EPI_ISL_17326218, EPI_ISL_17326224,
EPI_ISL_17326236

Usher shows that there is a major branch with some singlets hiding in artefact reversion branches.
usher

Screen Shot 2023-03-30 at 11 55 24

this paper says orf9b:24 is one of the variable site among the residues involved in the formation of dimeric orf9b.

Of the 15 residues involved in the formation of dimeric ORF9b, only six (A22/T24/P51/N55/R58/K59) were variable, while the others were highly conserved.

Orf9b:T24 mutations occurred in many previous seqs, but T24S was very rare, and have negative fitness score on previous backbones. However, this mutation always groups up with other orf9b mutations in previous seqs. (P10S, D16G or P60A) So it may make a difference given XBB.1.16's orf9b being different from original.

@thomasppeacock thomasppeacock added the XBB proposed sublineage of XBB label Mar 30, 2023
@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented Apr 4, 2023

17 seqs and detected in USA

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(16 seqs) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(17 seqs, 2 countries) Apr 4, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(17 seqs, 2 countries) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(19 seqs, 2 countries) Apr 9, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(19 seqs, 2 countries) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(62 seqs, 2 countries) Apr 11, 2023
@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented Apr 11, 2023

62 seqs now, massive upload from Gujarat. (43/606 of 4-10 batch)

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(62 seqs, 2 countries) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(65 seqs, 2 countries) Apr 14, 2023
@aviczhl2
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66 seqs and detected in Switzerland.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(65 seqs, 2 countries) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries) Apr 16, 2023
@aviczhl2
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Screen Shot 2023-04-17 at 02 12 32

Wow, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 in India.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16) Apr 16, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) Apr 16, 2023
@aviczhl2
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77 and detected in Malaysia.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(66 seqs, 3 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(77 seqs, 4 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) Apr 18, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(77 seqs, 4 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(78 seqs, 4 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) Apr 19, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(78 seqs, 4 countries, 45% growth advantage against XBB.1.16 ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(80 seqs, 4 countries ) Apr 25, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(80 seqs, 4 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(100 seqs, 4 countries ) May 1, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(100 seqs, 4 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(109 seqs, 4 countries ) May 3, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(109 seqs, 4 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(110 seqs, 4 countries ) May 4, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(110 seqs, 4 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(116 seqs, 5 countries ) May 7, 2023
@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented May 7, 2023

116 now and in Canada. The 3 new USA seqs one is airport and one is from India.

@corneliusroemer I think this one satisfies a designation now? Compared with others it grows faster inside India but appears less frequently outside India.

@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented May 13, 2023

135 seqs, massive upload from Canada and detected in Thailand and Poland.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(116 seqs, 5 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(135 seqs, 6 countries ) May 13, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(135 seqs, 6 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(135 seqs, 7 countries ) May 13, 2023
@aviczhl2
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152 seqs and in China and Japan.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(135 seqs, 7 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(152 seqs, 9 countries ) May 24, 2023
@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented May 30, 2023

157 seqs, Austria, France and Portugal, UK.

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(152 seqs, 9 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S emerging in India(157 seqs, 12 countries ) May 30, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(222 seqs, 23 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(229 seqs, 24 countries ) Sep 5, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(229 seqs, 24 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(235 seqs, 24 countries ) Sep 9, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(235 seqs, 24 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(241 seqs, 24 countries ) Sep 12, 2023
@aviczhl2
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248, Croatia

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(241 seqs, 24 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(248 seqs, 25 countries ) Sep 16, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(248 seqs, 25 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(249 seqs, 25 countries ) Sep 20, 2023
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256, Sweden

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(249 seqs, 25 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(256 seqs, 26 countries ) Sep 26, 2023
@FedeGueli
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@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(256 seqs, 26 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(258 seqs, 26 countries ) Oct 1, 2023
@aviczhl2
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aviczhl2 commented Oct 4, 2023

266, Grenada

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(258 seqs, 26 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(266 seqs, 27 countries ) Oct 4, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(266 seqs, 27 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(268 seqs, 27 countries ) Oct 8, 2023
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274, Italy

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(268 seqs, 27 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(274 seqs, 28 countries ) Oct 12, 2023
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279, Albania

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(274 seqs, 28 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(279 seqs, 29 countries ) Oct 23, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(279 seqs, 29 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(283 seqs, 29 countries ) Oct 27, 2023
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283, Australia

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(283 seqs, 29 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(283 seqs, 30 countries ) Oct 27, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(283 seqs, 30 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(284 seqs, 30 countries ) Oct 31, 2023
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aviczhl2 commented Nov 4, 2023

286, Oman

@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(284 seqs, 30 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(286 seqs, 31 countries ) Nov 4, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(286 seqs, 31 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(289 seqs, 31 countries ) Nov 8, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(289 seqs, 31 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(290 seqs, 31 countries ) Nov 15, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(290 seqs, 31 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(291 seqs, 31 countries ) Nov 19, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(291 seqs, 31 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(292 seqs, 31 countries ) Nov 23, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 changed the title XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(292 seqs, 31 countries ) XBB.1.16 with orf9b:T24S started in India(293 seqs, 31 countries ) Dec 5, 2023
@aviczhl2 aviczhl2 closed this as not planned Won't fix, can't repro, duplicate, stale Dec 9, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented Dec 9, 2023

Thanks for tracking it! this lasted through october with no Spike mutation over original xbb.1.16. As we already saw in BA.5.1 in japan Orf9b mutations alone sometimes allow persistance of apparently outdated lineages. cc @ryhisner.

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