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XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA, Netherlands, Canada (233 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. #1869

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FedeGueli opened this issue Apr 10, 2023 · 15 comments
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low priority For issues that are low priority for now monitor currently too small, watch for future developments reviewed XBB proposed sublineage of XBB

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@FedeGueli
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I have found a sublineage of XBB.2.6 defined by S:P521S that further acquired Orf9b:P51Q that has been sampled multiple times in US airport surveillance.

Defining mutations:
XBB.2.6 >> > S:P521S (C23123T) > T6895C, T9148C, A15192C, Orf9b:P51Q (C28435A )

Gisaid query: T9148C, A15192C, C28435A

Sequences: 7 (2 Chile, 2 Peru, 3 Us )
EPI_ISL_17168346, EPI_ISL_17271459, EPI_ISL_17286697,
EPI_ISL_17401628, EPI_ISL_17405026, EPI_ISL_17405045,
EPI_ISL_17411947

Tree:
Schermata 2023-04-10 alle 12 12 40
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_2b381_3db880.json?c=userOrOld&label=id:node_6028006

@thomasppeacock thomasppeacock added monitor currently too small, watch for future developments XBB proposed sublineage of XBB labels Apr 11, 2023
@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q arose in Peru'/Chile 7seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q arose in Peru'/Chile 8 seqs Apr 16, 2023
@FedeGueli
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8 Sequences , last one from Chile.

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q arose in Peru'/Chile 8 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q arose in Peru'/Chile 9 seqs Apr 22, 2023
@FedeGueli
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9 sequences last one from Chile

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q arose in Peru'/Chile 9 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circualting in Peru'/Chile/Brazil 12 seqs Apr 27, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented Apr 27, 2023

12 sequences as today : 3 more samples two from Lima and one from Brazil, Minais Geras.

Usher shows 13 samples
Schermata 2023-04-28 alle 00 14 13
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_26e0b_af3000.json?c=userOrOld&label=id:node_6091259

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circualting in Peru'/Chile/Brazil 12 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil 12 seqs May 3, 2023
@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil 12 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 20 seqs May 3, 2023
@FedeGueli
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Mores samples uploaded today from Peru' plus an airport surveillance from Virginia and one from Texas. total count is 20

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 20 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 27 seqs May 5, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented May 5, 2023

Odd but true this is growing fast , 7 new sequences (from March) uploaded by Peruvian scientists:
It is 14 seqs out of 99 collected in peru' after 1st of March .
pinging @corneliusroemer on this one, i would have not bet anything on this but it keeps going in South America.

@corneliusroemer
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Hmm, bit small, also 521S seems to be a bit too homoplasic in XBB.2.6 - maybe some QC issue?

@FedeGueli
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@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented May 6, 2023

@corneliusroemer i see what you meant the whole xbb.2.6 tree is messy at S:P521S , right, we will see how evolves this sublineage
Schermata 2023-05-06 alle 08 47 31

@corneliusroemer
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Yeah, I think Peru has some QC issues, so that makes Usher struggle distinguishing between real and artefactual homoplasy.

@corneliusroemer corneliusroemer added reviewed low priority For issues that are low priority for now labels May 6, 2023
@FedeGueli FedeGueli closed this as not planned Won't fix, can't repro, duplicate, stale May 6, 2023
@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 27 seqs XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 110 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. May 12, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented May 12, 2023

Huge upload from Peru' in the last days it reached 110 sequences , it counts 31 out of 132 samples from Peru' collected after first of April . I am reopening it from the preproposal page asking for a review @corneliusroemer @InfrPopGen @thomasppeacock

New tree:
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome-test.gi.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_test_1a012_e38700.json?label=id:node_6963125

Schermata 2023-05-12 alle 15 01 49

@FedeGueli FedeGueli reopened this May 12, 2023
@corneliusroemer
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I've also seen this on a few nextstrain trees now - I'll have a look

@corneliusroemer corneliusroemer self-assigned this May 12, 2023
@FedeGueli
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One more sequence from Florida

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 110 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 111 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. May 13, 2023
@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 111 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 142 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. May 18, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented May 18, 2023

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA 142 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA, Netherlands, Canada (166 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. May 25, 2023
@FedeGueli
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@corneliusroemer another bump to 166 sequences newly found in Canada and Netherlands.
I think the Orf9b:P51Q could be the key of its apparrent growth.
It is more than 20% of Samples in Peru' ahead of April although looking week by week i can see likely it is starting to go down in the second half of April.
Worth noticing that is one of the few no 486P lineages able to compete nowadays (FK.1/EL.1/XBB.1.31/XBB.1.33/XBB.1.28/FV.1 and ?)

@FedeGueli FedeGueli changed the title XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA, Netherlands, Canada (166 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. XBB.2.6 sublineage with S:P521S and Orf9b:P51Q circulating in Peru'/Chile/Brazil/USA, Netherlands, Canada (233 seqs - >20% prevalence in Peru' after April 1st. May 27, 2023
@FedeGueli
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FedeGueli commented May 27, 2023

Another big upload from Peru' reaching 233 seqs. Prevalence in Peru' seems slightly less than 20% in the second half od April. Still i think it should be designated

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